PPP: Final WA state poll Obama up by 7 (Pot/ Gay Marriage ahead by bigger margins)

[WI_DEM]

from twitter:

PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls 1m
The big drops for Obama in all these blue state polls help explain why the popular vote is still so close even as Obama looks good in the EC
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PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls 2m
We have now released polls in 5 blue states over the last 24 hours- MI, WA, OR, CT, and MA- where Obama is doing 10+ pts worse than 2008

PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls 13m
Our final Washington poll finds a very tight race for Governor with Democrat Jay Inslee at 50% to 48% for Rob McKenna
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PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls 13m
Our final Washington poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 53-46, another blue state where he's well down from 2008

PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls 13m
Our final Washington poll finds the state is likely to legalize marijuana- 53% support it, 44% are opposed
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PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls 14m
Our final Washington poll finds the state is likely to approve gay marriage- 52% support it, 42% are opposed

[TroyD]

1. Yes, there's definitely a deterioration from 2008

Although this PPP poll shows Obama lower than some other recent pollsters for WA which have had him doing better than that.

A good sign for Inslee in the Governor's race though.

[fugop]

2. Explaining further the natl. polls.

Obama has lesser margins, while the racist vote down South has expanded Mitt's vote from McCain.

[tbennett76]

3. Add four

to any robopoll

[WI_DEM]

5. I do think you have a point with that--PPP doesn't poll cell phones and polls which do

show smaller Obama leads with land line users and big Obama leads (usually) with those who use cell phones.

[jenw2]

4. With all of the ballots not being delivered or getting "lost"

I'm still worried. WA is a cesspool when it comes to voting.

[TroyD]

6. Obama has a +15 Average in WA at RCP

So this PPP poll is only half that. Does seem low.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/wa/washington_romney_vs_obama-2708.html

[S_E_Fudd]

7. I think PPP uses a conservative party breakdown...

Which is not necessarily a bad thing. Other than this poll the lowest margin I have seen for Obama in WA is 14... I suspect it will be north of 10 pts when all is said and done...

[fugop]

8. On the up side...

Out of curiosity, I went to look at the 2008 results. Looking at the final poll avg for Washington, Obama was at about the same number (53-something). And he outperformed at the polls.

Maybe O is doing just as well; it's just people like R/R better than M/P. Wonder if that's the same all over?

[TroyD]

9. Full polling article is now up:

November 03, 2012

WA-Gov close, Obama, gay marriage, and marijuana lead

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/wa-gov-close-obama-gay-marriage-and-marijuana-lead.html

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WASHINGTON - PRESIDENT (Obama +7)

Public Policy Polling

Obama - 53

Romney -46

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WASHINGTON - SENATE (Cantwell +18)

Public Policy Polling

Cantwell (D) - 57

Baumgartner (R) - 39

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WASHINGTON - GOVERNOR (Inslee +2)

Public Policy Polling

Inslee (D) - 50

McKenna (R) -48

[Mr.Turnip]

10. Looks like Washington Republicans will take a few more deserved years in the wilderness.