2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFinal ABC/Washington Post: The Enthusiasm Gap is Huge Factor
Turnout is critical, with Obamas slight edge relying on robust participation by Democrats and minorities and a competitive showing among independents. But theres some evidence for it: his supporters are more strongly enthusiastic than Romneys by an 8-point margin in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. Thats numerically the widest enthusiasm gap since early September.
http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1143a15TrackingNo15.pdf
PsychProfessor
(204 posts)8 point margin in the enthusiasm gap!? I love it!! People who were thinking democrats were going to sit this out have another think coming! Oh yeah!!!!
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)over this from the Republican perspective?"
"The new ABC/Washington Post poll is out, and it is absolutely devastating for Governor Romney. DEVASTATING."
blazeKing
(329 posts)Said that the candidate with the strongest support has never lost.
So much for that mythical Romney enthusiasm gap.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)If early voter is any indicator Dems are coming out in force tomorrow. I ams till amazed at the FL lines for early voting and NC and OH and...
trublu992
(489 posts)They always have ,but the Romnesia supporting polls plus the voter suppression tactics the constant lies of him being the "worst" president ever that just added fuel to the fire.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)calico1
(8,391 posts)which is not competitive, were coming out in droves. Says a lot about enthusiasm.
lindysalsagal
(20,747 posts)how much territory Obama eroded in the red states. I think it will be significant: The Affordable Health Care Act is the reason why.
GitRDun
(1,846 posts)Cha
(297,818 posts)exboyfil
(17,865 posts)with the right to vote. As Obama said, "Get Revenge" (I know the quote did not apply to this, but the best revenge is getting out to vote).
I hope in Florida and Ohio that every example of waiting more than 30 minutes to vote is documented. In a democracy where you have to work on election day, it is unreasonable to expect anyone to wait more than 30 minutes to vote. That should be a core principal demanded of our voting system.
jiro
(7 posts)Who are minorities if they aren't Democrats?
Thrill
(19,178 posts)or website.
wildflower
(3,196 posts)the other day.
Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)I'd say there is a gap, but it aint in the Obama camp.
outsideworld
(601 posts)Cha
(297,818 posts)Just fucking wow!
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Don't want to be a downer, but isn't Langer Research a Democratic firm? They may be accurate, but they might also be a little more optimistic than a regular firm. Nothing wrong with that though.
oswaldactedalone
(3,491 posts)lower middle class African-American neighborhood over the past three days where the turnout in the mid-term elections was 7%. That's not a typo, 7% turnout.
I've knocked on 192 doors since Saturday and spoken with many others as I'm walking from house to house. I've been amazed by how many people have already voted and the number who've said "There's no way I'm not voting for my President."
The key will be to capture that type of enthusiasm in the coming years.
SoapLovah
(23 posts)KurtNYC
(14,549 posts)awesome.