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CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 06:43 AM Jun 2016

The California "Exit" Poll is only absentee ballots and excludes the last three days of the election

(Yes, this "exit" poll was an online poll)

Anyone saying they can't figure out why the results match up or don't match up with the overall result needs to deal with the fact that the poll only covers absentee voters and was completed June 4th.

It doesn't include absentee voters from June 5th, 6th and 7th.
(and lots of absentee ballots are dropped off in person on Election Day itself)

It doesn't include Election Day in person voters.

It doesn't include absentee voters who mailed their ballots on June 7th.

If it nailed any races it was luck or an accident.

http://capitolweekly.net/exit-poll-tight-race-absentee-voters-favor-hillary/

Also, this "poll" didn't "nail" the Republican results, it got them wrong (even though the poll wasn't bad, it was only intended to be a snapshot of a subset of voting a few days before the election)


California Weekly Poll Results (actual current vote)
Statewide Result
Donald Trump 80 (75)
Ted Cruz 6 (9)
John Kasich 11 (11)
Ben Carson 2 (2)
Jim Gilmore 1 (1)

US Senate Race Poll Results (actual current vote)
Kamala Harris-D 52 (41)
Loretta Sanchez-D 14 (19)
Duf Sundheim-R 9 (8)
Phil Wyman-R 4 (4)
Thomas Del Beccaro-R 4 (5)

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The California "Exit" Poll is only absentee ballots and excludes the last three days of the election (Original Post) CreekDog Jun 2016 OP
If polls overestimate Bernie's vote, the voting is rigged geek tragedy Jun 2016 #1
A campaign that lived on manufactured reality can't seem to get back to the real world. upaloopa Jun 2016 #2
This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel Jun 2016 #5
Do you think Harris won the Senate seat? Major Hogwash Jun 2016 #3
There is an election in November between Harris and Sanchez CreekDog Jun 2016 #4
This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel Jun 2016 #6
Admitting you've never heard of Sanchez suggests you're not much of an observer of government onenote Jun 2016 #7
LOL you haven't heard of Loretta Sanchez? CreekDog Jun 2016 #8
 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
1. If polls overestimate Bernie's vote, the voting is rigged
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 06:50 AM
Jun 2016

If polls underestimate Bernie's vote, the polls are rigged to suppress votes.

If the polls are very close, either it's the truth or both the polls and the voting is rigged, depending on whether Bernie won or lost.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
2. A campaign that lived on manufactured reality can't seem to get back to the real world.
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 06:54 AM
Jun 2016

It started with those on line polls after the debates.

Response to geek tragedy (Reply #1)

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
3. Do you think Harris won the Senate seat?
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 07:19 AM
Jun 2016

I've never even heard of Sanchez.

See, this is why Hillary can't help us overturn control of Congress, she has no coattails!

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
4. There is an election in November between Harris and Sanchez
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 07:21 AM
Jun 2016

the winner of that election will become Senator.

Response to Major Hogwash (Reply #3)

onenote

(42,703 posts)
7. Admitting you've never heard of Sanchez suggests you're not much of an observer of government
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 09:18 AM
Jun 2016

She's a nine term member of Congress.

And I'm not sure what to make of your comment about coattails. Both Sanchez and Harris are Democrats and they both endorsed Clinton. I'm pretty sure she stayed neutral in the primary, as she should.

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