2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe California "Exit" Poll is only absentee ballots and excludes the last three days of the election
(Yes, this "exit" poll was an online poll)
Anyone saying they can't figure out why the results match up or don't match up with the overall result needs to deal with the fact that the poll only covers absentee voters and was completed June 4th.
It doesn't include absentee voters from June 5th, 6th and 7th.
(and lots of absentee ballots are dropped off in person on Election Day itself)
It doesn't include Election Day in person voters.
It doesn't include absentee voters who mailed their ballots on June 7th.
If it nailed any races it was luck or an accident.
http://capitolweekly.net/exit-poll-tight-race-absentee-voters-favor-hillary/
Also, this "poll" didn't "nail" the Republican results, it got them wrong (even though the poll wasn't bad, it was only intended to be a snapshot of a subset of voting a few days before the election)
California Weekly Poll Results (actual current vote)
Statewide Result
Donald Trump 80 (75)
Ted Cruz 6 (9)
John Kasich 11 (11)
Ben Carson 2 (2)
Jim Gilmore 1 (1)
US Senate Race Poll Results (actual current vote)
Kamala Harris-D 52 (41)
Loretta Sanchez-D 14 (19)
Duf Sundheim-R 9 (8)
Phil Wyman-R 4 (4)
Thomas Del Beccaro-R 4 (5)
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)If polls underestimate Bernie's vote, the polls are rigged to suppress votes.
If the polls are very close, either it's the truth or both the polls and the voting is rigged, depending on whether Bernie won or lost.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)It started with those on line polls after the debates.
Response to geek tragedy (Reply #1)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)I've never even heard of Sanchez.
See, this is why Hillary can't help us overturn control of Congress, she has no coattails!
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)the winner of that election will become Senator.
Response to Major Hogwash (Reply #3)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
onenote
(42,703 posts)She's a nine term member of Congress.
And I'm not sure what to make of your comment about coattails. Both Sanchez and Harris are Democrats and they both endorsed Clinton. I'm pretty sure she stayed neutral in the primary, as she should.