CNN Exit Polling For AL and MS (Polls now closed)

[brooklynite]

Alabama
Santorum 34%
Romney 29%
Gingrich 28%
Paul 6%

Mississippi
Romney 35%
Gingrich 30%
Santorum 29%
Paul 5%

I am inclined to believe that Tea Party conservatives may be reluctant to participate in Exit Polling, and thus Romney's number may be over-reporting.

[JI7]

1. i think it's splitting the vote between gingrich and santorum

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Actually, it looks like in MS, Romney leads Gingrich 33-31...

[Mr.Turnip]

3. Actually he leads SANTORUM 33-31 now.

Looking like a BAD night for Gingrich.

Santorum looks set to outperform polls as usual.

[Drunken Irishman]

5. That's great news. It'll force Newt from the race!

[Mr.Turnip]

6. Logically it should but Newt seems to be completely delusional now.

Totally blinded by his own ego and feeding off the attention he's getting.

[LisaL]

7. How is that different from Santorum?

[Mr.Turnip]

8. Because if Newt drops out Santorum has like a 5% chance of getting the nomination.

If he gets CRAZZY momentum and goes on a long winning streak (say he somehow wins New York)

Newt's unfavorable's are simply too high even in the GOP for him to beat Romney pretty much anywhere outside the south.

[LisaL]

9. And I should care about his 5% chance why exactly?

[Mr.Turnip]

10. You shouldn't but you asked why Santorum has more reason to stay in than Newt.

I mean I guess I could say the better he does the longer the clown show goes on which is good for us.

Would that be sufficient for you?

[Drunken Irishman]

11. Lots of reasons...

1. It keeps the race going. If Romney wins both Alabama and MS today, the race is essentially over and he'll walk to the nomination.

2. Santorum has a better chance of stealing more delegates from Romney than Gingrich. Gingrich can only win in the south and even that seems shaky right now. Santorum stays in the race and he'll keep Romney from winning the needed delegates.

3. That leads to a contested (not brokered) convention where Romney will have to make some deals.

Okay, so that's only 3. Not lots, but pretty damaging to Romney.

[Mr.Turnip]

12. As someone who loves this stuff I really hope for a contested convention.

Not only to hurt the GOP but to simply experience it and the chaos it brings.

We haven't had a contested convention in forever, it'll be a great piece of political history if it happens.

[LisaL]

17. Those arguments don't hold much water.

If Gingrich stays in that still could lead to brokered convention cause neither one of them might get enough votes.

[Drunken Irishman]

19. Doubtful...

Gingrich is A) allowing Romney to win certain states (MI, OH) that lead to growing momentum and B) he splits the vote enough where neither Santorum or Gingrich can grab enough delegates to be a true threat.

[morningfog]

4. Say goodnight, Newt.

End of the road for the Newster.

[Carla in Sequim]

13. No, I just don't get it

Tell me again how Romney is polling well/leading in these two states. I don't get it.

[RBInMaine]

14. Um, the ultranut vote is split between Frothy and Grinch.

[Mr.Turnip]

15. He isn't polling well.

if he wins he's winning in the low 30's however he has a shot since Santorum and Newt and splitting the vote so closely.

[Ruby the Liberal]

18. The Jeff Foxworthy bump.

[Mr.Turnip]

16. Are the vote counters in Alabama sleeping or something?

polls have been closed for over an over and only 2% in.