2016 Postmortem

kstewart33

(6,551 posts) Fri Jul 8, 2016, 05:20 PM Jul 2016

Clinton has a double-digit national lead.

Political Wire:

A new Democracy Corps (D) survey shows Hillary Clinton way ahead of Donald Trump nationally, 48% to 37%.

The poll also shows Democrats making gains down-ballot. In a named congressional ballot, Democratic congressional candidates have opened an 8-point lead over Republican congressional candidates, 49% to 41%.

Link: https://politicalwire.com

15 replies

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Highlight:

Clinton has a double-digit national lead. (Original Post) kstewart33 Jul 2016 OP

Fantastic news! Still a little early to take polls too seriously... auntpurl Jul 2016 #1

Did you see the spot yesterday MFM008 Jul 2016 #3

Good info! auntpurl Jul 2016 #4

Didn't Mike Dukakis lead George Bush in 1988 by something like John Poet Jul 2016 #9

yes he blew a 17 point lead MFM008 Jul 2016 #10

Nice summary. kstewart33 Jul 2016 #15

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel Jul 2016 #2

Sweeeet! MoonRiver Jul 2016 #5

I expect she will get plenty of MSM assistance in a subtle way. oasis Jul 2016 #6

K & R Scurrilous Jul 2016 #7

Why don't I see this in RealClearPolitics? LAS14 Jul 2016 #8

realclearpolitics MFM008 Jul 2016 #11

It was bound to happen. nt greyl Jul 2016 #12

Ms. Clinton is going to win big bigwillq Jul 2016 #13

Great news GulfCoast66 Jul 2016 #14

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)

1. Fantastic news! Still a little early to take polls too seriously...

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Fri Jul 8, 2016, 05:33 PM

Jul 2016

but this does bode well!

MFM008

(19,814 posts)

3. Did you see the spot yesterday

Reply to auntpurl (Reply #1)

Fri Jul 8, 2016, 06:13 PM

Jul 2016

Chuck Toad pointing out the new Pew Poll results and its poll accuracy in June as compared to November.
It stood at 4 points in June 2012 . POTUS won by 4 in November.
Stood by 8 in 2008. POTUS won by 7 point something in November.
He said you cant discount the accuracy of polls in June.

So unless HRC douses herself in gasoline and self immolates
things are looking like I don't need Mylanta today.

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)

4. Good info!

Reply to MFM008 (Reply #3)

Fri Jul 8, 2016, 06:17 PM

Jul 2016

Thanks!

John Poet

(2,510 posts)

9. Didn't Mike Dukakis lead George Bush in 1988 by something like

Reply to MFM008 (Reply #3)

Fri Jul 8, 2016, 08:44 PM

Jul 2016

15 percentage points, after his convention? And we all know what happened with that one.

I don't expect any radical shifts in the numbers after the conventions, but it's not as if it has never happened. Just a historical footnote.