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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong'
Dean Chambers, the man who garnered praise from the right and notoriety on the left for his "Unskewed Polling" site, admitted today that his method was flawed.
"Nate Silver was right, and I was wrong," Chambers said in a phone interview.
Chambers' method of "unskewing" polls involved re-weighting the sample to match what he believed the electorate would look like, in terms of party identification. He thought the electorate would lean more Republican when mainstream pollsters routinely found samples that leaned Democratic.
But as it turned out, the pollsters were right self-identified Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 6% in election exit polls.
"I think it was much more in the Democratic direction than most people predicted," Chambers said. "But those assumptions my assumptions were wrong."
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/unskewed-pollster-dean-chambers-nate-silver-election-dick-morris-michael-barone-2012-11
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'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong' (Original Post)
Cali_Democrat
Nov 2012
OP
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)1. Let the professionals do the polling Dean
back to the buffet for you.
phleshdef
(11,936 posts)2. Well, at least he isn't bullshitting around about it.
I'll give him an inkling of credit there.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)3. At least he admitted it.
No more polling for you, sir.
powergirl
(2,393 posts)4. I am surprised he actually admitted this
But, I will bet that the wingnuts will still use him two/four years from now for his poll - which had NO BASIS in fact.
dawg
(10,624 posts)5. "I was wrong."
Three of the most admirable words a person will ever say. My hat's off to you, Mr. Chambers. I did not think you had it in you.
Maeve
(42,288 posts)6. Doesn't he owe someone a couple thousand dollars about now?
His bet with DUer Chichiri?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021653878
20895DEM
(100 posts)7. Captain Obvious
I think that the only person that thought that this lard ass was right was the lard ass himself.
Blue Idaho
(5,057 posts)8. Bullshit!
It wasn't "flawed" it was propaganda.