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Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:09 PM Nov 2012

'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong'



Dean Chambers, the man who garnered praise from the right and notoriety on the left for his "Unskewed Polling" site, admitted today that his method was flawed.

"Nate Silver was right, and I was wrong," Chambers said in a phone interview.

Chambers' method of "unskewing" polls involved re-weighting the sample to match what he believed the electorate would look like, in terms of party identification. He thought the electorate would lean more Republican when mainstream pollsters routinely found samples that leaned Democratic.

But as it turned out, the pollsters were right — self-identified Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 6% in election exit polls.

"I think it was much more in the Democratic direction than most people predicted," Chambers said. "But those assumptions — my assumptions — were wrong."

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/unskewed-pollster-dean-chambers-nate-silver-election-dick-morris-michael-barone-2012-11
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'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong' (Original Post) Cali_Democrat Nov 2012 OP
Let the professionals do the polling Dean bluestateguy Nov 2012 #1
Well, at least he isn't bullshitting around about it. phleshdef Nov 2012 #2
At least he admitted it. Jennicut Nov 2012 #3
I am surprised he actually admitted this powergirl Nov 2012 #4
"I was wrong." dawg Nov 2012 #5
Doesn't he owe someone a couple thousand dollars about now? Maeve Nov 2012 #6
Captain Obvious 20895DEM Nov 2012 #7
Bullshit! Blue Idaho Nov 2012 #8

powergirl

(2,393 posts)
4. I am surprised he actually admitted this
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:13 PM
Nov 2012

But, I will bet that the wingnuts will still use him two/four years from now for his poll - which had NO BASIS in fact.

dawg

(10,624 posts)
5. "I was wrong."
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:21 PM
Nov 2012

Three of the most admirable words a person will ever say. My hat's off to you, Mr. Chambers. I did not think you had it in you.

20895DEM

(100 posts)
7. Captain Obvious
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:25 PM
Nov 2012

I think that the only person that thought that this lard ass was right was the lard ass himself.

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