The 2016 Electoral Map that SCARES THE LIVING SHIT OUT OF ME!

[MohRokTah]

Low chance given Cheeto Benito's meltdown, but this is the map the FREAKS ME THE FUCK OUT!!!!

[2naSalit]

1. And who produced this map?

I question its validity on a few levels.

[LenaBaby61]

19. And who produced this map?

Agreed.

This looks like one of those pro-tRump maps on Youtube, where I saw a Pro-tRump person said that tRump was more than likely going to win: Ohio, PA, Florida, NH, CO. and Virginia (Even though Hillary's VP comes from VA. knowing how popular Kaine IS there. Must not know that VA. is a purple state)

[Warren DeMontague]

28. you can play around with the map at 270towin.com

it's a kind of fun and educational thought exercise.

http://www.270towin.com/

[Buckeye_Democrat]

2. That's probably Trump's "best case scenario," but I strongly suspect...

... that he'll continue to self-destruct.

I'm not getting complacent. I'm just looking at the pattern.

[DCBob]

3. Fear not..

NH will save us in that scenario.

[PearliePoo2]

4. This election night might be the most watched TV in history.

[VMA131Marine]

5. If Hillary gets the 1 EV in Nebraska,...

She will definitely get all of the EVS from Maine. Mischief managed!

[longship]

6. I do not think Drumpf stands a chance in NH.

And NV is moving toward Clinton these days. The latest polls in OH place Clinton up by a bunch.
Same with FL. She'll likely take that one CG district in NE, too.

And with notable red states close enough to be in play in play for Hillary -- AZ, GA, NC, MO, IA, fucking UT! -- Drumpf's path to victory is all but nonexistent.

Just have to work that GOTV! That's the answer.

[kevink077]

7. Would never happen

First, Colorado would go Red before New Hampshire ever would. If trump wins New Hampshire he will win in a blowout anyway.

[Chasstev365]

12. Did you say Trump would win in a blow out?

[kevink077]

37. Trump will lose

You missed my point? If Clinton cannot carry left of center NH she likely would have bigger problems in swing states. Clinton of course will likely sweep them all.

[Chasstev365]

38. Got it! Thanks!

[Jarqui]

8. First of all, I think the poll of polls for

a lot of these states understate the damage he's done to his campaign because they're still averaging polls from before his convention and post-convention implosion.

But with those understated polls, he's behind in the following states you have him winning:
Florida (29) Clinton +3.6
Georgia (16) Clinton +0.3
Iowa (6) Clinton +0.4
Nevada (6) Clinton +2.3
New Hampshire Clinton +8.2
North Carolina (15) Clinton +2.0
Ohio (18) Clint +2.6

When the poll of polls weans New Hampshire of it's pre convention polls, Trump will be behind by 12 to 15 pts.

In all the other states you have blue, Hillary is up by 7 or more pts to clinch the electoral vote ignoring all the other states above where she is leading. She's in better shape than Obama ever was.

All Hillary has to do is shut up, hope the Clinton Foundation stuff doesn't get legs and Trump stays in the general election and she'll be the next president.

[geek tragedy]

9. Trump is behind by 10 in NH. nt

[TexasTowelie]

10. But Trump didn't win Pennsylvania--

it's obvious that Crooked Hillary cheated!

in case it is needed.

[Chasstev365]

11. NH will not vote for Trump!

Iowa and NV will also be tough for Trump!

[Buckeye_Democrat]

15. Clinton is polling better in Ohio and other states compared to Iowa. n/t

[rock]

13. Why not just color them all red

For a real scare. With no basis for reality, one is just as good as the other.

[okieinpain]

25. +1 n/t

[procon]

14. Somewhat of a misleading map, yeah?

While omitted -- and who knows why? -- the website is http://www.270towin.com/, and allows visitors to "customize" their own map versiobs by changing the states.

Their splash page presents the current data, and while not as sexy as the doctored map presented to us, Hillary is still beating Trump 217 - 164.

[Blue Idaho]

18. Yeah...

I don't get it... Why make a map that has no connection to reality and then post it on DU? What was the OP hoping this would do?

[Imperialism Inc.]

16. This one is even scarier.

I mean as long as we are worrying about things that aren't going to happen we might as well go all out.

[Squinch]

20. How much you want to bet Trump holds this up as a chart in his next speech?

[TeamPooka]

23. He'll say if this sweep doesn't happen the election is rigged. nt

[spooky3]

21. LOL!

[BlueMTexpat]

31. +1! eom

[sobenji]

17. And Indiana is tied 44-44

We went Blue in 08, and Pence is despised here

[MFM008]

22. Every 4 years

Every 4 without fail, someone does this scenario and it never happens .... I think we're safe.

[Warren DeMontague]

27. Right now I'm feeling confident but the shit that went down in 2000 was unprecedented and

well-nigh unimaginable until it actually happened, too.

[pnwmom]

24. But if Hillary gets just one of these states: Nevada, NC, Florida, New Hampshire, etc.

Then it's all over for Trump.

[Warren DeMontague]

26. right, the tie.

It could happen. Unlikely, but it's one possibility.

538 has a thing now on how Clinton could win without FL and OH.

First off, while it's an interesting nightmare scenario- particularly since the house would clearly vote to put Trump in- I think even in this worst case type deal it's unlikely that she wouldn't be able to carry at least one of the following: NH, NV, or IA.

[Binkie The Clown]

29. What scares the shit out of me is zombies. But they're not real either. n/t

[BlueMTexpat]

30. Not gonna happen ... eom

[BumRushDaShow]

32. Uh no.

NV is not going to suddenly switch back and at this point, if FL & OH voted twice for the "black guy", they are a shoo-in for Hillary.

And if Hillary plays up her Chicago roots, IA should be competitive again (Obama won IA in 2008).

[yellowcanine]

33. Well yes that is scary, but it bears little resemblance to what is going to happen.

The only pink states on there which Trump is likely to win are Utah, Mississippi and Missouri.

[PierreBauvais_49]

34. That map is completely removed from reality

First off, Trump is behind Hillary by over 10% in NH, a state that has been solidly democratic for the last 3 election cycles.
There's also NO chance Trump will win Nevada, seeing how many Latino voters reside in that state.
More importantly, recent polls from 538 show that typically red states like Arizona are starting to favor Clinton, which further restricts Trump's path to election victory.
If Trump keeps on screwing up his campaign, his electoral map will look like this:

http://www.270towin.com/maps/OLX14

Ideally, Hillary should get at least 450 electoral votes against that orange-haired fascist, but that's impossible in this day and age.

[MohRokTah]

35. It wasn't removed from reality just after the Republican convention.

It was basically a best case scenario, but was still possible.

And given how the media treats any misstep by Hillary compared to Trump, let's hope Hillary doesn't smear her lipstick on her teeth between now and November (quoting Samantha Bee here), or else this map could actually happen.

[uppityperson]

36. Welcome to DU.