2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIPSOS state-by-state tracking polls
8/26 - Here's what the EV map would look like based on today's set of IPSOS state-by-state daily tracking polls. The sample size for many of these states is small so that may explain some of the odd results (Hillary leading in NE; Trump up in WI, MI, NH, and ME). Still a solid lead for Hillary. Key, the darkest colours represent a lead of >10%, the next lighter colour a lead of 5-10% and the lightest colour a lead of <5%.
Key
Darkest colours represent a lead of >10%,
Next lighter colour a lead of 5-10%
Lightest colour a lead of <5%.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Trump has zero chance to win WI or MI.
vadermike
(1,415 posts)Makes no sense trump is definitely not up in MI or WI these are wacky And she probably is not leading the whole state of NE but I'll take it These iPsos polling are weird
SCliberal91294
(170 posts)Their sampling isn't high enough in some states. It's clearly wrong in Maine, New Hampshire, Nebraska, Michigan, Wisconsin. FL and OH are too much in our favor from this poll.
VMA131Marine
(4,139 posts)9/4 - Here's what the EV map would look like based on today's set of IPSOS state-by-state daily tracking polls. The sample size for many of these states is small so that may explain some of the odd results (Hillary leading in NE; Trump up in WI, MI, NH, and ME). Still a solid lead for Hillary. Key, the darkest colours represent a lead of >10%, the next lighter colour a lead of 5-10% and the lightest colour a lead of <5%.