NYT analysis: Hillary has 1011 paths to win. Trump has 10 paths to win. There are 3 paths to a tie.

[pnwmom]

Yes, I know, we should all work our hearts out and not assume anything.

But articles like this make me feel less sick when I think about Trump getting this close to the Presidency.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html#trend

The interactive diagram below illustrates Mr. Trump’s challenging path to the presidency. Here, we assume Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Trump will win the states where our model shows them to be the most strongly favored, and we let you control the outcome of the 10 most competitive states. Above all, this diagram illustrates how important Florida is to Mr. Trump. It is extremely difficult for him to win without it.

Select a winner in the most competitive states below to see either candidate's paths to victory. (Other versions of this tree have used the 10 states where the outcomes were the most uncertain — this one uses the 10 with the closest expected vote margin.)

[Farmgirl1961]

1. Paths to the nomination

I won't rest until there are ZERO paths for Trump.

[pnwmom]

2. Me, neither. Welcome to DU, Farmgirl1961!

[scscholar]

3. The media would love a tie! Ratings would be through the roof for months...

so that is what they're going to try for.

[Doctor Jack]

4. As long as she wins Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, or North Carolina

Its all over. And she is well ahead in 2 of those states and has a decent lead in the other two. Unlikely to see a drastic change in the polls over the next 10 weeks.

[Cirque du So-What]

5. In this case

I would definitely NOT follow the example set by Robert Frost and choose the path less taken.

[Warren DeMontague]

6. Kick and rec.

[TheBaculumKing]

7. Ten is WAY Too Damned Many

[BlueMTexpat]

8. +!!

And three to a TIE! Yikes!

[bigwillq]

9. Congrats on 100 posts!

[oberliner]

10. It's all about Ohio and Florida

If HRC wins those, she wins.

If she doesn't, we've got problems.

[pnwmom]

11. She has many ways of winning without those states. But they're critical for Trump. n/t