2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHRC holds 7 point lead in new national poll
Monmouth national poll:
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_082916/
Likely voters
39% Donald Trump
46% Hillary Clinton
7% Gary Johnson
2% Jill Stein
1% (VOL) Other candidate
5% (VOL) Undecided
0% (VOL) No one
HEAD TO HEAD
42% Donald Trump
49% Hillary Clinton
4% (VOL) Other candidate
5% (VOL) Undecided
0% (VOL) No one
Do you think Hillary Clinton gave special treatment to big donors of the Clinton Foundation when she was Secretary of State or did she do nothing out of the ordinary in the way she treated them?
54% Special treatment
26% Nothing out of the ordinary
20% (VOL) Don't know
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Shows the race remains unchanged. This is a poll that will go into the RCP average too.
And +7 in head to head and +7 in a 4 way race is good news too.
The_Casual_Observer
(27,742 posts)Doodley
(9,094 posts)partially due to voters believing the false narrative about the CGI (54% believe the "special treatment" narrative). Can't inoculate against stupidity.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)This result seems more in line with other national polls which have probably tightened 2-3 points, actually to be expected during August after the conventions. In other words, some of the convention bounce was bound to subside. It may have taken a little longer because of Trump's shenanigans but it still was going to happen.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)was part of a post convention bounce. People need to remember that and chill out. I don't think Pres Obama was ever this far ahead of either Romney or McCain.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Last edited Mon Aug 29, 2016, 02:10 PM - Edit history (1)
Trump, now and forever a LOSER.
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)The last one had her up double-digits. Still a solid lead but I don't like the trend.
HassleCat
(6,409 posts)That seven percent now with Johnson could shift a few points to Trump as the race tightens. I know a few people who are voting for Johnson because they figure Trump is sure to lose, so they can "burn" their votes in protest. If they see Trump as a possible winner, they may decide to shift to him from Johnson. I don't know. Hard to predict in crazy circumstances.
vadermike
(1,415 posts)This is bad cause she was up double digits ?? That was never gonna hold It always tightens closer to election time The average is about 6 to 7 points in the aggregate
writes3000
(4,734 posts)They're ridiculous.
vadermike
(1,415 posts)I see about the end about the CGI garbage People are just gonna go at the end oh yeah ill just vote for trump anyways and he wins I don't see it she is still
Leading !!! Now if it gets with 2 pts or something on Election Day then but I don't see it tightening to that unless the debates go bad but I don't see it Hillary has a smart campaign team GOTV and run up the score !!