POLL: Clinton/Trump tied in 4 way, Clinton +1 in 2-way among LV (Reuters/Ipsos)

[democrattotheend]

2 way LV: Clinton 40, Trump 39
4 way LV: Clinton 39, Trump 39, Johnson 8, Stein 2

2 way RV: Clinton 43, Trump 37
4 way RV: Clinton 40, Trump 36, Johnson 8, Stein 3

As you can see, Hillary does better among registered voters than likely voters. So some of the tightening we have seen may be because it's usually around this time that pollsters switch to the likely voter screen.

Additional notes:
Poll conducted September 8-12, so mostly before the incident Sunday
Poll puts party ID with leaners at 43 D, 33 R

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/2016_Reuters_Tracking_-_Core_Political_9.13_.16_.pdf

[MohRokTah]

1. Reuters/Ipsos has been like this all along

No surprises here.

[Loki Liesmith]

2. Reuters always close, but maybe slightly tighter

Good fraction of move is simply Dem enthusiasm.

HRC campaign needs to work on increasing enthusiasm if it wants better polling.

[Lefthacker]

3. One thing

That seems to never change is Trumps #s always stay in the 30s. He is stuck there.

[LonePirate]

4. I don't think Trump's likely voters are all that likely to vote.

Plus you have a massive difference between the two candidates in their abilities to actually GOTV. There is no way the race is a close as this poll suggests.