2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum****** BREAKING Q POLL NATIONAL***** -CLINTON 48 TRUMP 43
In a largely negative presidential campaign, where most Americans are voting against, rather than for, a candidate, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 48 - 43 percent among likely voters nationwide, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.
This compares to a 51 - 41 percent Clinton lead in an August 25 survey of likely voters nationwide, by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
With third party candidates in the race, results are too close to call, with Clinton at 41 percent, Trump at 39 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 13 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 percent.
Clinton and Trump get similar negative favorability ratings, 40 - 57 percent for her and 35 - 59 percent for him. For Johnson, 53 percent of voters haven't heard enough to form an opinion of him and 72 percent haven't heard enough about Stein.
Among Clinton voters, 54 percent say they mainly are voting against Trump, while 32 percent say they mainly are voting for Clinton.
Among Trump voters, 66 percent say they mainly are voting against Clinton, with 23 percent saying they are voting mainly for Trump.
"No doubt the pneumonia will pass, but like a nagging cough that just won't go away, Donald Trump defies every remedy Hillary Clinton throws at him," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
"It's the definition of 'damned by faint praise,' a presidential contest where a vote for a candidate is less an endorsement of that candidate than a stinging rejection of his or her opponent.
https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2378
Not bad after her weekend from Hell. I wasn't going to join in the hand wringing. Never let them see you sweat!!!
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)I'm surprise about Q tho.
LOL
writes3000
(4,734 posts)SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)This will no doubt be buried.
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)So part of it was before the "weekend from hell." But still good news.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)This is a relief even though her lead has been cut in half since the last Q Poll.
Quinnipac is a Right leaning poll. 538 rates it an A- with a +0.7 R bias.
leebaba1992
(53 posts)and hated by repbs. funny world.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)reliability and not demonstrating as much right-wing tilt.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)What is it you're babbling about? I don't see anyone here LOVING Q polls. Just noticing their republican leaning bent and being happy she's ahead even in that kind of poll.
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Praying the debates go her way or we are in deep doodoo.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)4 way polls do not hold up on election day, the 2 way polls will be much closer to the margin.
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Both candidates by major parties are not liked as a whole. These are the least liked nominees in history. People feel like they're choosing between two bad choices, so they're likely to go for a 3rd or 4th choice when they go to the voting booth, or just sit out completely.
It's not an insane amount, but 1-3% points as the poll suggests, is definitely in the realm of possibility this time.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)Gives me 3-4% lead. My own model suggests that too.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Clinton probably leads by about 4 points nationwide and she still leads in most of the swing states. But there is no denying the race has tightened. Is this bottom for her, I have to think it's pretty close.
The debates can't get here soon enough.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)So good news.
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)This poll moved me from panicky to only mildly nervous.
treestar
(82,383 posts)without the editorializing. And I don't need the opinion of Tim Malloy. I can just read the numbers..