Overwhelming support for Hillary from women, black & Latino voters rarely mentioned in 'close' polls

[bigtree]

Simon Maloy ‏@SimonMaloy
welp

[sarae]

1. But everyone knows that voters are so UNENTHUSIASTIC about Clinton.

Apparently the only voters that count, according to the media, are white ones.

[JRLeft]

2. It's not just about the majority, it's about how many show up to vote.

If she can't match or surpass Obama's numbers the race will be a toss up. If she does the race is over.

[still_one]

3. and there are more women than men

[bigtree]

6. and women vote in much greater numbers

...and greater percentages than men.

[still_one]

12. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

[bettyellen]

13. But the men running the conversation don't see any of us....

[JustAnotherGen]

14. Because they think they've got us tucked away

In Binders.

[Iliyah]

4. 41% of white voters for HRC; 41% of women, including white women voters for HRC

In the recent polling the pollsters underestimate % of POC and the young and focus mainly on "White voters". The rate they are determining, all "white" or 95% will vote for T-rump which is not accurate. Factor in, I'll say HRC is in very good shape.

[bigtree]

7. yes

...considering how close Hillary is to Trump with the 'white' vote.

[EarlG]

5. Meanwhile in 2012...

Romney won 59% of white voters (4% more than McCain in 2008). And Romney won 54% of male voters (8% more than McCain in 2008).

So to recap, that's:

Romney 2012: 59% of white voters | Trump 2016: 51% of white voters
Romney 2012: 54% of male voters | Trump 2016: 50% of male voters

I expect President Romney is probably feeling worried about these numbers.

https://www.thenation.com/article/bad-news-about-white-people-romney-won-white-vote-almost-everywhere/
http://www.gallup.com/poll/158588/gender-gap-2012-vote-largest-gallup-history.aspx

[bigtree]

8. okay

...that's what I'm seeing.

Hillary is not only challenging Trump with white and male voters, she's more competitive than our last Democratic nominee.

[EarlG]

10. Seems that way

Trump certainly appears to be massively underperforming Romney in most cases.

Romney won 44% of the female vote in 2012, and 17% of the non-white vote. Meanwhile Trump is winning 35% of the female vote in 2016, and 19% of the non-white vote.

http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/03/31/pollster-gop-must-nearly-double-share-of-non-white-vote-to-win-white-house/

[JustAnotherGen]

16. Great stats

And point well made!

[oasis]

9. "How many bilingual pollsters are involved in the polling?"

A question asked by a Clinton surrogate yesterday.

[bigtree]

11. good question

...they must know or strongly suspect the number of bilingual canvassers is lacking.

[JCMach1]

15. Nor is the fact Trump does worse than Romney with almost every category...