Hillary leads by NINE POINTS in PA, and McGinty is 5 points ahead of a sitting GOP Senator!

[onehandle]

Pennsylvania is going to win it ALL for us!

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A new poll has placed Democrat Katie McGinty ahead of Republican Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race.

The Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll, released over the weekend, shows McGinty ahead of Toomey by 43 percent to 38 percent among poll participants.

The poll also found Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton to have a nine-point lead over Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. Several polls released shortly after the Democratic National Convention in Philly in July also reflected progress for both Clinton and McGinty, though an Emerson poll released in late August placed Toomey over McGinty by 46 percent to 39 percent.

http://www.phillymag.com/news/2016/09/20/pa-senate-race-poll

[saltpoint]

1. We want the Keystone State to turn blue

early on Nov. 8. We want it blue by a huge percentage. We want major turnout.

And we want Toomey long gone from the upper chamber. He's bad news from the word go and all of History won't miss him one little bit.

[BootinUp]

2. Yeah!!!!! nt

[triron]

3. How

new is this poll? Thought I saw it posted a couple days ago.

[MADem]

22. Click on the link, and read the article which is dated today.

The Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll, released over the weekend, shows McGinty ahead of Toomey by 43 percent to 38 percent among poll participants.


Read more at http://www.phillymag.com/news/2016/09/20/pa-senate-race-poll/#fF62sP5UtHbLI4SL.99

[triron]

4. Seems

to blow away the Ipsos poll there.

[misterhighwasted]

5. Absolute best news of the week! PA is vital & McGinty gives us the Senate

6 weeks to go. This has to hold or increase

http://www.emilyslist.org/candidates/katie-mcginty

SNIP

A champion for Pennsylvanians, who’ll help win back the Senate for Democrats

The race for the Senate in Pennsylvania will be among the most closely-watched of the cycle.
Katie will need our help to raise money early on, so she can build momentum and keep it going through the general election—and her campaign will be key to Democrats’ chances of winning back the Senate from the Republicans. Katie is known for her focus and her strong work ethic.

[democrattotheend]

6. This is the same poll that came out over the weekend

But it's definitely good news. I will feel better when I see polling a few days from now that reflects the most recent events.

[lunamagica]

7. YES!!!!

[triron]

8. Anyone

know of any new Ohio polls?

[Tarheel_Dem]

9. Looks like both Obamas are storming PA as well. They know that PA is where we deny Trump the....

presidency.

[Dawson Leery]

10. PA +10 for HRC is likely.

Obama won it by 10 in 08'.

[leebaba1992]

11. Gotta keep an eye

CO, MI, and Wisconsin. We need those

[Sugarcoated]

25. We've got em

[ffr]

12. It's time to put this thing into overdrive and talk about retaking congress.

Keep up the GOTV effort!

[bucolic_frolic]

13. Totally agree

Our platform and ideology is surging, Republicans are hiding from Trump

We have a chance and are accelerating

Odd that we hold fewer national offices, and fewer yet state offices,
but we have the surrogates, they have losers

Voters are tired of obstructionism

They know Obama has been roadblocked and he is very popular right now -
what does that tell you?

Don't spare the horses, James

[DCBob]

14. PA is key to this election.

Any hope of an upset by the Dump must include PA.

[William769]

15. Now that's what I', talking about.

[GeoWilliam750]

16. Been driving around western Pennsylvania the last few days

I have seen hundreds do Trump signs and ONE Hillary sign. Whilst Philly may go yet more blue, much of the rural state seems still deep red, and signs do not equal votes, but this is anything but in the bag. I have also seen a couple of smaller signs in restaurants supporting Joe Paterno.

[Dawson Leery]

18. Eastern PA is a nice place.

Even Allentown/Bethlehem, Scraton/Wilksebarre are Democratic.
There are several counties on the river in the north that are trending blue.

[Sugarcoated]

26. State College and Harrisburg

also

[GeoWilliam750]

29. Although highly unscientific

I saw only Trump signs in and around State College.

When other posters say, "Don't worry about it, Hillary has it in the bag", it makes me worry more, not less. There is no room for complacency.

If the Democrats do no get out the vote everywhere, there is still a chance that we could lose to the man that is probably the worst major party candidate in history.

[Number9Dream]

32. Sorry to disagree, but the Lehigh Valley is more Republican

Charlie Dent (R) is running unopposed again. Before him was Toomey. I've lived outside Nazareth for over 25 years. My current state rep. is Marcia Hahn (R) and senator Mario Scavello (R). The Allentown Morning Call and WFMZ TV are pro Republican. The NRA has tremendous sway in the Lehigh Valley. Obama was a fluke. I'm seeing many Trump signs and bumper stickers and none for Clinton.

[Dawson Leery]

34. Philly/Montco/Delco/Bucks/Chester/Berks will have to have

very high turnout then. Add in Pittsburgh and the northeast corner to that list.

[onehandle]

20. There's also about 5 people out that direction.

Eastern Pennsylvania will clean Trump's clock, along with many in the very far West.

Don't let it worry you.

[NYC Liberal]

23. Much of rural everywhere is more conservative.

But a much smaller fraction of the population actually lives there.

[napi21]

28. You're right. Fairly small "little town" populations.

Plus, if you can believe my husband, whose father was born & raised outside of Bellefonte, Pa. Dad used to always take his kids there to see Grandpa & the rest of the relatives. Anyway, my husband says those folks up there never vote. They live like true mountain men. Hunting & fishing all the time. Most of the women don't work outside the home, and everybody HATES the Democrats because THEY'RE commin' to take your guns!

[whatthehey]

30. 2/3 of the population is in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh metros

Now add in that putting a Clinton sign up anywhere other than a deep blue enclave even in blue areas is asking for vandalism at best and borderline suicidal at worst and it might show why Pennsyltucky signs are not a reliable indicator.

[RobinA]

31. I Think

Hillary just isn't getting the signs out. I'm in the SE Pa 'burbs, totally Hillary territory supposedly, and I see a sprinkling of Trump signs and no Hillary signs. Or Toomey signs, or McGinty signs. You can barely tell there's an election around here, although I'm sure that will change. In fact, the ONLY signs I see are Trump. And have actually seen these Trump signs for awhile now.

[Sugarcoated]

33. For some reason I've been reluctant

So there're others probably who've wanted to stay off the radar. I think it's because I've heard about so many people's signs being stolen and I was worried about the Trump nuts, but I've also seen a few friends on FB who despise Trump but cave in to, 'They both suck' false equivalancy and will vote for her but don't want to broadcast it. I'm gonna get one today if the campaign office has one. I usually volunteer closer to the election and go door to door in my neighborhood to gotv and I will this election.

[JI7]

35. it has always been that way. that's why Romney thought he would win

But it ignores the minority and dem heavy area.

[Coyotl]

17. K & R

[Pakid]

19. I plan on doing my part

on the 8th and voting for Hillary and Katie

[CajunBlazer]

21. Good results

Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website has corrected the poll results from +8 for Clinton to +7 for Clinton and assigned a rather mediocre weight to poll - 1.00 compared to the top rated Quinnipiac University and YouGov Pennsylvania polls which is weighted at 1.32.

With this poll, Hillary now leads in Silver's combination of recent polls by +2.9% - 47.0% to 44.1% and Hillary is given a 67.3% chance of winning Pennsylvania by Silver.

The Muhlenberg College poll is the latest poll and the only poll which has been conducted in September (Sep. 12-16); all of the others in that corrected poll average on the site were conducted in August. Maybe this better score is the beginning of a new trend.

[napi21]

27. I didn't know most poll results were from August! If that's true,

how the heck does the media bozos have now polling almost every day? They give the impression that there's polling results coming out all the time.

[jimw81]

24. Looks like no split ticketing is happening