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2016 Postmortem

triron

(22,003 posts) Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:41 PM Oct 2016

HRC has 96% chance of winnning (election consortium)

http://election.princeton.edu/

4 replies

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***HRC has 96% chance of winnning (election consortium)*** (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP

Donald is hurting down ballot Rs - FiveThirtyEight jumps 7 points in Senate forecast ffr Oct 2016 #1

That 4-point gap really terrifies me!!! stopbush Oct 2016 #2

Margin of error puts us over 100% C_U_L8R Oct 2016 #3

Thx for link, but copy paste of the info additionally is very helpful Bernardo de La Paz Oct 2016 #4

ffr

(22,670 posts)

1. Donald is hurting down ballot Rs - FiveThirtyEight jumps 7 points in Senate forecast

Reply to triron (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:49 PM

Oct 2016

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512494077

Polls Only Forecast jumps 7% from this morning, just hours ago.

Chance of winning control
58.4% Dems
41.6% Reps.

Donald must stay in folks! He's helping our cause to take control of both houses, TURNING AWAY Rs and driving Dems to get behind Hillary Clinton.

Do your part too. There's still time to get voters registered in many states. GET OUT THERE AND WIN THIS THING!

stopbush

(24,396 posts)

2. That 4-point gap really terrifies me!!!

Reply to triron (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:52 PM

Oct 2016

She should be at 150%!!!!!

Just thought I'd get the Nervous Nellie/concern troll post in right off the bat.

C_U_L8R

(45,002 posts)

3. Margin of error puts us over 100%

Reply to stopbush (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:55 PM

Oct 2016

Hilarious !! The Republicans couldn't have chosen a worse candidate.

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,002 posts)

4. Thx for link, but copy paste of the info additionally is very helpful

Reply to triron (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:02 PM

Oct 2016

As of October 10, 12:05PM EDT:
Snapshot (168 state polls): Clinton 326, Trump 212 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +4.0%
RSS
Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 92%, Bayesian 96%
Senate snapshot (48 polls): Dem+Ind: 50, GOP: 50, Meta-margin: D +1.2%, Nov. control probability: Dem. 72%

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