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2016 Postmortem

Renew Deal

(81,859 posts) Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:42 PM Oct 2016

Are the polls measuring how many previous Trump voters are going to stay home?

Because that has a massive down ticket effect. I wonder how much of the post tape polls is movement to Hillary and how much is people coming out of the likely voter pool.

3 replies

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Are the polls measuring how many previous Trump voters are going to stay home? (Original Post) Renew Deal Oct 2016 OP

I 'd really like to know that, especially in Texas TXCritter Oct 2016 #1

It's a big open question. FReak site thinks they'll flood to the polls. But some there will vote Bernardo de La Paz Oct 2016 #2

A little bit of all of the above Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #3

TXCritter

(344 posts)

1. I 'd really like to know that, especially in Texas

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:43 PM

Oct 2016

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,002 posts)

2. It's a big open question. FReak site thinks they'll flood to the polls. But some there will vote

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:06 PM

Oct 2016

Some there will vote tRump only and not for any Republicans down-ticket.

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)

3. A little bit of all of the above

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:13 PM

Oct 2016

Trump will lose 3-5 points for his tape and another bad debate. Hillary solidifies her support and gains 3-5 points off from independents who now no longer can vote for Trump. It's going to be an 11-15 point lead by next week and if the next tape that drops is as bad as rumored that could grow.

1 month from tomorrow we are looking at a 53-38 win for her, 400+ EVs, the Senate (53 seats) and a 50-50 shot at the House. The Landslide is inevitable.

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