2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCuyahoga and Franklin counties in Ohio
counties down 18% and 32% in early voting for Dems. That's very disappointing.
https://twitter.com/ElectProject
LisaL
(44,973 posts)Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-p-mcdonald/early-voting-more-states_b_12517738.html
"Also, in 2012, Ohio in-person early voting was underway for a longer period at this point in the cycle."
Though, it's certainly not great news. Let's just hope people who aren't really in the mood to vote because of the unpopularity of these 2 with half (or more in Dumdum's case) of the voters, will realize Trump MUST be stopped. I cannot even fathom how nauseated we will all be if he won, and hopefully those less inclined to vote will do so! Again, like I tell everyone I know, "you gotta vote, please!", and like they say, we're mostly friends with like minded people on politics, so I know if everyone voted I talk to, that'd be great!
triron
(22,006 posts)on his pollster averages for Iowa and Ohio due to Clinton's recent surge. Appears he significantly overestimates Trumps chances at each of these states.
Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)writes3000
(4,734 posts)If you read the article CAREFULLY, it states that Ohio doesn't give party identification info on who bites early. So while the early vote totals are down in these counties, we don't know the breakdown of Dems voting versus Republicans voting. It's entirely conceivable that Republicans in cities are not voting early which would bring the overall totals down.
Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)Thanks for doing so!
Also, the great news is that VA early voting was so bad for Trump they gave up the state as we heard!
"within the Democratic stronghold of Northern Virginia it is up 55.6%"
"Stick a fork in Virginia, its done. The early voting numbers and polling numbers are looking so bad for Trump that the campaign pulled out last week, essentially conceded the state to Clinton."
LisaL
(44,973 posts)LisaL
(44,973 posts)Considering all the other counties don't have reduced turnout. If Republicans weren't early voting, you'd expected reduced turnout in heavily republican counties. But apparently that isn't happening.
Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)So, obviously, they need to be pushing the GOTV in those counties exclusively. I really hope LeBron keeps telling people to vote, and I'm sure he will.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)Obama beat Romney by huge margins in both of them. It's be very disappointing if democrats in those counties don't get out to vote.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)I found an article from October 3, 2012. They were already early voting. This year early voting started on October 12. So 10 days of early voting were lost this year. We can only hope they will catch up.
http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2012/10/03/new-early-voting-site-has-critics-fans-on-first-day.html
Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)that matters a lot, and many working class people in those counties early vote on the weekend, so despite the OH sec of state getting his wish (sigh.... typical) and getting early voting cut down, hopefully people will vote before election day when lines will be huge after work.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)Still time to catch up, one would hope.
writes3000
(4,734 posts)In the same way the less educated ones do.
I'm not saying I'm right but since we don't have party ID numbers, it's all conjecture.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)that don't involve Ohio.
Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)another hope for them. Yes!!! If FL stays for her, it's over. But, we can't assume it definitely will, of course, but he has a huge Hill (lol) in front of him to climb, and he ain't the guy to do it!
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)But those electoral votes could prove to be critical. Excellent call, HRC!
Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)Hopefully it will be a landslide for us, but if not, knowing that dumdum is already out of VA is awesome!
Response to triron (Original post)
Kathy M This message was self-deleted by its author.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)the total number of votes, because OH lost 10 days of early voting compared to 2012. But they are turning out in higher numbers if you compare each day to each day. So hopefully they can catch up to 2012 over the whole voting period.
"Voter turnout in Franklin County, home to state capital Columbus, is robust with more than 9,300 votes cast in person in the first four days, a 80 percent boost over the same period in 2012."
http://plunderbund.com/2016/10/20/hillarys-vp-sen-tim-kaine-tells-ohioans-2016-election-in-the-palm-of-their-hands/
UncleTomsEvilBrother
(945 posts)The downward trend of early voting may be inevitable in the highly populated African American areas, but that's not necessarily "bad" for Hillary. Since Obama is not on the ballot, we have to come to grips with the fact that quite a few Black people, young people, and anybody else that the "Hope and Change" campaign galvanized is not going to be as motivated.
As a Hillary supporter, I have been trying to urge them to focus on the Obama coalition, but we should definitely have our own identity in order to encourage voter turnout.
Princess Turandot
(4,787 posts)That's noted in his article. And as others have said, these numbers relate to all requested ballots, not requests by party. They can continue to request ballots until 11/5. In 2012, 40% of ballot requests came in after 10/5/2012
And FWIW, while those counties voted heavily for Pres. Obama in 2012, there were 400,000 votes for Romney between the two of them.