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2016 Postmortem

Norbert

(6,040 posts) Mon Oct 17, 2016, 11:22 AM Oct 2016

Now Cast about to cross the 90% threshold.

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Up! Up! Up! Nate's 538 Polls only 87.7% (Original Post) Norbert Oct 2016 OP

We should start a betting pool BlueState Oct 2016 #1

Now Cast is 90.3 % at the moment. yellowcanine Oct 2016 #2

Daily Kos at 95% n/t PasadenaTrudy Oct 2016 #3

should drop a tiny bit this afternoon Loki Liesmith Oct 2016 #4

(642 posts)

1. We should start a betting pool

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 11:25 AM

Oct 2016

To guess (date and time) when each of the forecasts pass 90%.

(35,699 posts)

2. Now Cast is 90.3 % at the moment.

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 11:48 AM

Oct 2016

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

But it bounces around a bit as new polls come in - it probably the least stable number on 538.

(3,998 posts)

3. Daily Kos at 95% n/t

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 11:57 AM

Oct 2016

(4,602 posts)

4. should drop a tiny bit this afternoon

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 12:51 PM

Oct 2016

CNN brewed up a few of their super tight likely voter screen polls in OH and Nevada.