538: Men Are Treating 2016 As A ‘Normal’ Election; Women Aren’t

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

We could be looking at the largest gender gap in a presidential election since at least 1952: Men are favoring the Republican nominee, Donald Trump, in typical numbers, but a historically overwhelming share of women say they will vote for the Democrat, Hillary Clinton.

As my colleague Nate Silver has pointed out, women are winning this election for Clinton. Between the historic nature of Clinton’s candidacy, Trump’s record of misogynistic comments and now the Trump tape and allegations of sexual assault against Trump, American men and women are incredibly split on the 2016 election. But that split isn’t symmetrical. In an average of the most recent live-interview polls from each pollster to test the race in October, Clinton holds a 20-percentage-point advantage among women, and Trump is winning more narrowly among men.

POLLSTER WOMEN MEN DEM. GENDER GAP

ABC News/WashPost Clinton +8 Tie +8

CBS News Clinton +18 Trump +11 +29

CNN Clinton +14 Trump +4 +18

Fairleigh Dickinson Clinton +24 Trump +7 +31

Fox News Clinton +19 Trump +6 +25

George Washington Clinton +18 Trump +5 +23

NBC News/WSJ Clinton +20 Trump +3 +23

PRRI/The Atlantic Clinton +33 Trump +11 +44

Quinnipiac University Clinton +20 Trump +12 +32

Average Clinton +20 Trump +7 +26

Women are overwhelmingly supporting Clinton

The most recent live-interview poll conducted in October that FiveThirtyEight had by each pollster as of 12 p.m. on Oct. 16. NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey is between just Clinton and Trump, while other polls included third-party candidates as choices. All polls are rounded.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/men-are-treating-2016-as-a-normal-election-women-arent/

[BainsBane]

1. I hope this changes as more polls factor in the assault allegations

I would really hate to think the majority of men are fine with a candidate who is a serial sexual predator.

[sarae]

2. I hope it does change, because it would be incredibly depressing to think most men are fine with it.

[smirkymonkey]

4. It really is depressing, isn't it?

[still_one]

3. Which men? I'm not

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

5. Me neither

I took the article to mean a slight majority of men which is what the polls show.

[BlueProgressive]

6. I don't think it's normal. I may actually vote early

absentee this time, for no particular reason other than wanting to make sure my vote IS cast. I've never voted absentee before now.