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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum538 up but Election consortium (-1%)
and Predictwise (from 91& to 90%) down slightly. wtf??
Unless the 2 sites down reacting to CNN polls?
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538 up but Election consortium (-1%) (Original Post)
triron
Oct 2016
OP
MFM008
(19,814 posts)1. probably
CNN was the first to drag down her numbers after the convention bump.
renegade000
(2,301 posts)2. EC only uses state polls, 538 factors in national polls as well.
I believe there were a couple bad ohio polls recently, but some pretty good national polls (as well as non-ohio states)?
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)3. Predictwise is back to 91%
If you are obsessing over 1 point changes in the prediction markets you might be spending too much time focusing on the election. Go for a run or something
jamese777
(546 posts)4. Good Advice! n/t
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)7. 1 point is noise.
Look at the trend. And the trend is Hillary has never been in better shape to win.