2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHoly cow! 538's Senate polls plus is running away to the Democrats
The map is far worse if one looks at polls only or the now cast.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/
* Catherine Cortez-Masto is running away with it from Joe Heck in NV.
* Roy Blunt's seat is slipping away Jason Kander in MO.
* Maggie Hansen has Kelly Ayotte on the ropes in NH.
* Evan Bayh is crushing Todd Young in IN.
* And now Deborah Ross is over 51% odds on Richard Burr in NC.
* Ron Johnson is dead to Russ Fiengold in WI.
* Same for Mark Kirk in IL, losing badly to Tammy Duckworth.
* Katie McGinty is destroying Pat Toomey in PA.
For those scoring at home, that's 5 Republican incumbents losing right now.
Keep the pedal to the metal Democrats!
kimbutgar
(21,181 posts)avebury
(10,952 posts)so that, together with some moderate Republicans, Hillary will be able to fill SC vacancies.
Wounded Bear
(58,698 posts)kill the fillibuster, especially on USSC nominations.
Buckeye_Democrat
(14,856 posts)Very disappointed in Ohio! Strickland has been attacked relentlessly by the NRA and others, though.
Nevertheless, it's great news overall!
Cracklin Charlie
(12,904 posts)I can't believe my eyes!
Please let this be so. Let's vote!
jcgoldie
(11,639 posts)He ran an ad in which he assembled a machine gun blindfolded, and he's hammering Blunt because everyone in his family are lobbyists. Those themes are playing well in red Missouri.
FSogol
(45,524 posts)gademocrat7
(10,665 posts)Hoping for a D win against Little Marco in Florida.
Lochloosa
(16,067 posts)apnu
(8,758 posts)Most people don't split their ballots, yet Hillary is beating Trump badly in FL and has been since the 2nd debate. However, Rubio has bigger numbers than Hillary in his contest.
WTF indeed.