Selzer, of the Trump +2 in FL poll, believes in minimal weighting of samples

[Godhumor]

Which means she does minimal adjusting to population parameters. Which means subsamples can be completely off from reality.

Case in point? She has Trump winning Latinos...in Dade County. Obama won Latinos in Dade County by an extremely impressive margin.

Look to the total poll average in Florida, which is Clinton +3. Even Selzer has outliers.

[Zynx]

1. Well, she normally polls Iowa. She's not used to diversity.

[sinkingfeeling]

2. CBS morning news chose to use this poll this morning.

[Thrill]

5. Yup. No mention of any other polls. They finally got a good one for Trump

And the media is goo goo gah gah

[tarheelsunc]

3. Don't understand why she's held up as some sort of gold standard.

IIRC, she missed Iowa pretty badly before the caucus. There's no such thing as a perfect poll or perfect pollster. It's better to look at the averages of polls than individual polls.

[qdouble]

4. No need to freak out about every poll... if Hillary does have a 2-5 point leads as indicated by the

polling average, then occasionally you should get a poll where it's a tie or Trump has a slight lead, given the margin of error.

[LeftInTX]

6. Is this the Bloomberg poll?

[writes3000]

7. Yes.

[LeftInTX]

8. Thx....sign of relief....we're only talking about 1 poll