Upshot Siena Poll Florida Trump 46 Clinton 42

[Loki Liesmith]

Republicans in poll unified, Democrats not.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/30/upshot/florida-poll.html

[Cattledog]

1. And this was taken before Comey announcement. So not good.

[Loki Liesmith]

7. Or just noise

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

8. You sure about that? (Boycotting NYT)

[helpisontheway]

2. Well 35% of the vote is already in

and Steve Shale from Obama campaigns said our numbers look good. He also said he will likely be able to know the winner by Wednesday. He said he knew that Obama won both times before Election Day.

[semby2]

3. Odd

I don't want to "deskew" polls but here are a few comments in the article:

Mrs. Clinton has had nearly unanimous support among black voters in Upshot/Siena surveys, but not in this one: She had a lead of 81 percent to 11 percent.....One possibility is that this is random sampling error — we’re talking about seven black respondents who support Mr. Trump in our survey. But there are at least hints that Mr. Trump may be a tad stronger among black voters in Florida than elsewhere.

Please.

[woolldog]

4. I was in Florida last week and Trump is blanketing

the airwaves with ads. Most of his ads are really positive if not accurate and give people a clear reason to vote for him. Clinton's are negative and focus on why you shouldn't vote for Trump. I would like to have seen more positive Clinton ads laying out her vision. I wonder if all the ads are moving the poll numbers in Trump's favor?

[Proud liberal 80]

5. Reuters has her +4/survey monkey +3 in Florida

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppollingnumbers

[Loki Liesmith]

6. Those today?

Should be another nbc Marist if Florida out in about 10 minutes

[Proud liberal 80]

9. They were listed today but

Looks like they were a couple of days ago

[geek tragedy]

10. yuck.

hopefully an outlier. Did they ask if people had already voted?

[smorkingapple]

11. State will be 50.1 - 49.9 but she'll pull it out eventually.