2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary HQ Clinton Leads Trump 47% to 43% in Alaska. Wait...What?! - HIL
Last edited Mon Oct 31, 2016, 11:04 AM - Edit history (1)
I looked at real clear politics and the last one listed for Alaska was first week in October, It had Trump up +3.
Tweet
Hillary HQ @Hillary_HQ 4h4 hours ago
Clinton Leads Trump 47% to 43% in Alaska. Wait...What?! - HILLARY HQ - http://www.hillaryhq.com/2016/10/clinton-leads-trump-47-to-43-in-alaska.html?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=socialnetwork
Sunday, October 30, 2016
Clinton Leads Trump 47% to 43% in Alaska. Wait...What?!
Thought Texas could be the biggest surprise of Election Night 2016? Maybe not!
A poll of likely voters in Alaska shows Hillary Clinton with a growing lead over Donald Trump particularly with younger voters and women, mirroring trends seen in the lower-48. Craciun Research surveyed 400 voters and found 47-43 leaning for the Democratic nominee with less than two weeks until Election Day.
....
Trumps support with likely voters meanwhile has dipped 4% since mid-October. The Gender Gap is at levels not experienced in the recent past with women supporting Clinton by a margin of 17% (55% to 38% respectively). Further impacting the race is the unprecedented endorsement of Clinton by the Alaska Federation of Natives board. In the rural North and Northwest regions of the State, the poll shows Clinton is beating Trump by a margin of almost 5:1 (74% to 15%). ................................................................
Yonnie3
(17,462 posts)Craciun Research is the polling company.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/alaska/
538 thinks the poll leans D and adjusts it to D +1
The release from Craciun:
http://www.craciunresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Press-Release_Presidential-Election-2016_Alaska-Survey_Craciun-Research-_102916.pdf
I never thought Alaska would be this close!