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2016 Postmortem

pnwmom

(109,000 posts) Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:07 AM Oct 2016

5

Hillary still 6 points ahead on the Huff Post 3-way aggregate of polls.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton-vs-johnson

4.5 ahead on the NY Times aggregate.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/polls.html?_r=0

5 ahead on 538.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/

5 replies

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Hillary still 6 points ahead on the Huff Post 3-way aggregate of polls. (Original Post) pnwmom Oct 2016 OP

GOTV!!!... especially for the Senate's sake Grey Lemercier Oct 2016 #1

Only 2.9 on realclearpolitics Funtatlaguy Oct 2016 #2

They include junk polls like Gravis, for example. And I've noticed them leave out pnwmom Oct 2016 #4

Not enough... pangaia Oct 2016 #3

Oh.. I was just talking Colorado. Focusing in on just light blue - if she keeps Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2016 #5

Grey Lemercier

(1,429 posts)

1. GOTV!!!... especially for the Senate's sake

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:11 AM

Oct 2016

Funtatlaguy

(10,889 posts)

2. Only 2.9 on realclearpolitics

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:13 AM

Oct 2016

Not sure what new ones they recently added

pnwmom

(109,000 posts)

4. They include junk polls like Gravis, for example. And I've noticed them leave out

Reply to Funtatlaguy (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:15 AM

Oct 2016

perfectly good traditional polls. I don't know how they decide what to include, but they've become an outlier of the aggregates, it appears to me.

pangaia

(24,324 posts)

3. Not enough...

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:15 AM

Oct 2016

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)

5. Oh.. I was just talking Colorado. Focusing in on just light blue - if she keeps

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 05:19 PM

Oct 2016

all blue and light blue - 272

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