New Polls Show Hillary Clinton Leading In Most Key States

[workinclasszero]

New Polls Show Hillary Clinton Leading In Most Key States
Plenty of people seem ready to freak out, but the race remains as it was.
Natalie Jackson Senior Polling Editor, The Huffington Post 11/02/2016 09:31 pm ET

Yet Clinton is in a better place than Barack Obama was at this point in 2012. In the HuffPost Pollster chart, Obama widened his lead to just 1.5 percentage points over Mitt Romney nationally ― but that was good enough for Simon Jackman’s HuffPost model and Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight model to give Obama a 91 percent chance of winning. Obama’s odds in the states were good enough that he was predicted to get 332 electoral votes (which is what he got).

Clinton is currently about 6 points ahead of Trump in the HuffPost Pollster national chart, and our predictions give her 341 electoral votes. Assuming the polls haven’t become fundamentally more error-prone than in 2012, a 98 percent certainty of her election makes sense ― especially when compared with Obama’s 91 percent certainty with only a fraction of that lead.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/state-polls-clinton-leading_us_581a8098e4b08f9841ad3a03

[Cha]

1. K&R!!

[workinclasszero]

2. Cha its lookin really good for Hillary!

She is ahead of where President Obama was at this point!

[Cha]

6. She should be! mitt wasn't as psycho!

[workinclasszero]

10. Rmoney was probably the last sane republican that runs for office

Republicans are the party of Bannon, Alex Jones, the KKK and Putin now.

[Cha]

13. Romney was a sociopathic liar but even he won't vote for

trump. There is a huge difference.

"Republicans are the party of Bannon, Alex Jones, the KKK and Putin now".. and an admitted sexual predator.. trump being the head of the snake.

[workinclasszero]

14. Yup

Do you think drumpf will stay involved with the republican party after his defeat or just jump into his hate,conspiracy, alt-right fascist TV channel fully and start a new party?

[Cha]

16. I have no freaking clue.. I just hope we don't have to see

his ugly distorted face 24/7 like now.

I hope he goes to jail.

[livetohike]

3. It's looking good! Going to be a great election night (once I

get home from working at the polls).

[gademocrat7]

4. K&R!

[tavernier]

5. But you'd never know it

by the batch of negative polls suddenly popping up from "concerned Hillary fans" just to "keep us informed."

[MoonRiver]

11. So much concern, so little time

Let's see, 5 days actually.

[workinclasszero]

12. Yeah I'm sure we will hear more garbage from those "concerned Hillary fans"

right up to the minute she is declared the winner of the election!

[Demsrule86]

7. Look great and thanks! K&R nt

[Coyotl]

15. dKos: Hillary Clinton currently has a 92% chance of winning the presidency

forecast Hillary Clinton 323 Trump 215 Electoral Votes

http://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/president



Hopefully, turnout will turn OH blue too. Latinos may make the difference in Texas. They are already turning Fl, AZ and NV blue.

[Towlie]

17. fivethirtyeight.com: Clinton 66.7%, Trump 33.2%

... as of the morning of November 3.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

That's almost exactly 2 out of 3 - Russian Roulette with two bullets in the six-shooter.

[Coyotl]

18. NYT: Latest Election Polls 2016 Clinton 45.5% Trump 42.5%

Remember how Obama and Romney were near a tie at this point?

National Polling Average - Updated 17 minutes ago
Latest Election Polls 2016
Updated daily as new polls are published. .............

[Towlie]

21. Be careful not to confuse poll results with probability. Your site gives Clinton an 86% probability.

Meanwhile, fivethirtyeight.com has slightly lowered her probability to 66.1%.

[oasis]

19. Time to kick some serious Trump ass.

[workinclasszero]

20. In...5...days!