*****BREAKING MORNING CONSULT POLL***** CLINTON 52 TRUMP 47

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/MCModeStudyFinalToplines.pdf


That poll was taken during Peak Comey.

But I want something even more fresh.

[Fahrenthold451]

1. Nice to see HRC punch through 50%

[Coyotl]

8. The dKos election forecast is 326-212, may need an upgrade before Nov. 8.

forecast Hillary Clinton 323 Trump 215 Electoral Votes

http://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/president



Hopefully, turnout will turn OH blue too. Latinos may make the difference in Texas. They are already turning Fl, AZ and NV blue.

[livetohike]

2. Go Hillary Go!!

[molova]

3. Thanks! Hillary cannot be losing NV if she's ahead by 5%

Please let NV pollsters be egged on their faces.

[Lifelong Protester]

4. Yay!!

Thank you!

[aaaaaa5a]

5. I honestly believe that is about where the

National vote will finish.

[Democrats Ascendant]

7. Agreed!

[Cosmocat]

11. No way

All due respect, there is going be a very substantive third candidate vote.

I can't see how Hillary breaks 50%.

[aaaaaa5a]

13. Good point.

Clinton 50
Trump 46
Johnson 3
Stein 1

The third party number will continue to fall. 4% for a 3rd party vote is still pretty good historically. This scenario puts Clinton right at 50% and is very realistic.


Interestingly this also could be the third time a Clinton wins the presidency with less than 50% of the vote.

[Cosmocat]

14. YEP

That was a saw all during the 90s, how Bill never broke 50% ...

They are going to be jackasses either way, but it would be nice to get to 50%.

[padfun]

17. If the R's use that,

Tell them that Trump didn't get 50% of the R primary votes.

They say he got the most votes ever for a primary, but he also got the most votes against him in a primary.

[ericson00]

15. thankfully, Johnson, Stein, nor McMullin

have billions to pour into 20 min infomercials like Ross Perot had. But the "not-a-majority" talking point rallied conservatives and spread their narrative in the media very well; that doesn't need to happen again.

Then again, had 9/11 not happened, Bush II would've continued to be dogged by the "less-than-plurality" or "not-the-highest-vote-getter" and he'd had been tossed in 2004. Of course then, had Gore not been denied the WH, he'd also have potentially dealt with the "not-a-majority" because he also won a plurality rather than majority.

[mondonhill]

6. yay

we can do it! Good vs. evil

[calimary]

18. Welcome to DU, mondonhill!

I believe that! But EVERYBODY has to turn out and vote - either NOW, when early voting is possible, or next Tuesday.

If Democrats turn out, we win. It's as simple as the numbers. The numbers are with US. WE have the bigger numbers of voters and the demographics are shifting in OUR favor. If only we seize it, and put those numbers to work for us. Seriously! All we have to do is get up off our asses and go vote. President Obama would add - "don't boo. VOTE." Don't sit and complain and get depressed. Get yer ass out there and VOTE. And THEN you can come back, sit back down, and complain some more. BUT VOTE!!!!

I can guarantee - you won't like the results if you don't.

[mondonhill]

19. voted

voted yesterday-been having nightmares,not joking

[calimary]

23. I totally get that "having nightmares" part.

I don't have nightmares. But I'm not getting much (if any) sleep lately, either! TONS of Toss-'n'-Turn... It's freakin' MISERABLE!

[workinclasszero]

9. Over 50%!

Woohoo!

[Awsi Dooger]

21. Pushing undecideds

I mentioned this a few days ago. As election day nears the polling companies push undecideds to declare. That's why the combined percentage for the two major candidates rises sharply. It will show up in other polls also.

[workinclasszero]

22. Yep

The time to take a side rapidly approaches!

[Renew Deal]

10. Why didn't they publish a 4 way number?

[Cosmocat]

12. right ...

nm

[Lucky Luciano]

16. USDMXN down a lot since 4:00am too!!

Fox was spouting some bullshit about an impending indictment with regards to the Clinton Foundation overnight that pushed USDMXN to 19.55 almost.

My binary outcomes are USDMXN to 18 on a Clinton win and 22 on an orangefuck win. When USDMXN is at 20, the election is a toss-up under that model. Before the first debate it got to 19.9. On oct 25, it was around 18.5. So the move to 19.55 was very bad for Hillary's odds.

Since 4:00, $MXN has retreated to 19.23 - a very nice move for HIllary's implied odds of winning.

I would like to see 18.5 again though - I think we get congress too with that.

[triron]

20. What was their last poll?