Women will decide this election. That seems clear to me.
And they'll surprise many pollsters, too. As some surveying of actual early voters appears to show, more Republicans appear to be switching their presidential vote to Clinton than anyone expected. While those surveys don't seem to be gender-specific, I suspect that it is Republican women who are making the difference.
If that holds true right through November 8, polling companies are going to be looking for new ways to proceed in the next presidential election. If, as I expect, Hillary does better than the average of polls next Tuesday, the algorithms the polling companies are using this year are flawed, and badly so.
Women have long been underestimated as a voting block by pollsters, and this year's election has real impacts on women who are affiliated with both parties. Republican women, especially, have to be looking at the rank misogyny of Donald Trump and considering their votes in a different way than has been typical.
There are plenty of moderate Republicans in this country. They generally vote for the nominee of their party, but Donald Trump is an aberration in the history of Republican candidates. His appeal is to people who have strong bigoted opinions in just about every area. His misogyny is so blatant and open that many moderate Republican women may be likely to vote against him, even if they vote down-ballot for Republicans.
I believe the pollsters are missing that to a fairly large degree. If I'm right, the final results on November 8 may come as a big surprise to many people, including those professional pollsters.
We shall see on Wednesday morning. Yes we shall.
= new reply since forum marked as read
When one factors in the number of women who have been sexually assaulted in some way, or even mistreated by a boorish misogynist, I don't see how Trump can possibly break out of his deficit. And now major media outlets are picking up the story too.
#TrumpRapeCase = Trump’s Child-Rape Accuser Going Public
