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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumReuters/Ipsos States Polls
From Sam Stein:
https://twitter.com/samsteinhp/status/794168261294309380|
MI +4
OH+4
PA+6
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Reuters/Ipsos States Polls (Original Post)
vdogg
Nov 2016
OP
ABC Jonathan Karl played down a Clinton +6 in one state as "Just over margin of error" this a.m.
wishstar
Nov 2016
#4
I have no clue the big lag in the release of the data, it is very misleading
Grey Lemercier
Nov 2016
#12
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)1. HRC +5 in OH.
Thrill
(19,178 posts)2. CNN MSNBC FOX: keep going, nothing to see here
Let's talk about a Trump leading that Bloomberg FL poll from 2 weeks ago
wishstar
(5,269 posts)4. ABC Jonathan Karl played down a Clinton +6 in one state as "Just over margin of error" this a.m.
So obvious they want tied election - but at least we don't have to worry about complacency in the final week
Guy Whitey Corngood
(26,501 posts)3. You mean OH +4? nt
vdogg
(1,384 posts)5. Oops, you're right.
I'll fix it.
Guy Whitey Corngood
(26,501 posts)7. Cool. nt
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)6. Their polls are really erratic
I'm not saying wrong, just erratic.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)8. Good news!
The worm has turned.... again!
Grey Lemercier
(1,429 posts)9. old polls (h/t to Loki Liesmith) dates are Oct 6 to Oct 12 or 17
http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/us/2016-election/
Ohio
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 6-12, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 2,002 Americans, including 841 Democrats, 753 Republicans, 236 Independents, 1,739 registered voters and 1,200 likely voters ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for all adults, 3.9 percentage points for Democrats, 4.1 percentage points for Republicans, 7.3 percentage points for Independents, 2.7 percentage points for registered voters and 3.2 percentage points for likely voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
Ohio
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 6-12, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 2,002 Americans, including 841 Democrats, 753 Republicans, 236 Independents, 1,739 registered voters and 1,200 likely voters ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for all adults, 3.9 percentage points for Democrats, 4.1 percentage points for Republicans, 7.3 percentage points for Independents, 2.7 percentage points for registered voters and 3.2 percentage points for likely voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)11. Yet they are due to put out updates based on their schedule...
Oct. 7-13 Ipsos
Oct. 14-20 Ipsos
Oct. 21-27 Ipsos
Oct. 28-Nov.3 ?
Grey Lemercier
(1,429 posts)12. I have no clue the big lag in the release of the data, it is very misleading
If every poll played fast and loose with the date lag, it would be chaos.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)13. Perhaps those polls were commissioned by somebody?
Seems weird that they're releasing old data, but their website(s) suck, so it looks like we're not going to find out.
Grey Lemercier
(1,429 posts)14. Reuters commissioned IPSOS
http://ipsos-na.com/about-ipsos/
Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.
With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.
Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of 1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.
Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos offerings and capabilities.
Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.
With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.
Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of 1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.
Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos offerings and capabilities.
Joe941
(2,848 posts)10. we are going to win this thing!