*******BRAND SPANKING NEW SUNSHINE STATE POLL******* CLINTON 49% TRUMP 45%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/OS-FL-General-11.3.16.pdf

[bluestateguy]

1. Make the media cover it

nt

[vdogg]

3. Over under on how much this drops us on 538?

Last edited Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:08 PM - Edit history (2)

I'll give it 2-4 points. We'll be lucky if we're North of 60.

[LiberalLoner]

5. Yeah it will probably make Hillary's numbers drop by about ten on 538 LOL.

[Adrahil]

10. I love 538, but this made me LOL.....

I admit that some of the things their model does makes me COMPLETELY confused.

My money is on down 1.1%

[LenaBaby61]

16. Over under on how much this drops us on 538?

vdogg, even Sam Stein on his twitter for November 3rd said:

Sam SteinVerified account
‏@samsteinhp

"Not sure i follow how a poll comes out showing clinton plus 1 in AZ and the 538 model lowers her chances of winning by .2%"

Let me just say, that I'm sure we'll all be relieved when Tuesday is over

[workinclasszero]

4. But..but..the news media will not like this

GO HILLARY..GO DEMS!!!

[TrekLuver]

6. Is this one of the reliable polls? I can't see it I'm blocked at work.

[Amishman]

11. Silver has them as a C- with slight pro democrat bias (0.7)

So pretty fair but not always accurate.

[tallahasseedem]

7. You are an angel!

Thank you for posting! I love when DUers post these with the stars and caps lock...it truly makes me smile!

[LAS14]

8. How do you get this info before 538 and Upshot post it?

[bluestateguy]

9. and 55% of the vote is in

nt

[Renew Deal]

13. Sure seems like FL is moving in her direction...

[geo1]

14. 55% of those polled already voted

according to the stats. Provided those folks didn't lie about how they voted, I think this poll represents very good news.

[triron]

27. Not only that she is winning those by +9

I would say based on these numbers and the recent TargetSmart data her chances are extremely good there.

[Awsi Dooger]

17. Trump is trying to sway Florida via Miami-Dade County

His campaign views it as the most important county in the country. I saw an analyst say that on Chris Matthews' show last night during the, "Tell Me Something I Don't Know," segment.

I believe it. I live in Miami-Dade County. I mentioned last week that my Republican sister lived in my house until late June when fortunately she moved out. I could not have tolerated a political fall in the same house.

My house has been bombarded with rightwing mailers and phone calls throughout the fall. It is unbelievable volume. They leave anti-Hillary messages when I don't answer.

The mailers persist in lesser number. But Tuesday the calls declined then yesterday the phone calls stopped. Absolutely stopped. Nothing again today. It's fantastic but I wondered why. Then I spoke to my aunt. She had contacted my Republican sister, who told her that she early voted at the beginning of this week.

That explained it. It must have triggered something in their system. Trump's ground game may be weak nationwide but from a voter outreach aspect the GOP Florida operation is sophisticated and persistent, especially in Miami-Dade County. I don't doubt that they are trying to pull older Cubans who previously supported Republicans but either drifted away or may not be motivated to vote.

[Lucky Luciano]

19. USDMXN dropped from 19.25 at noon to 19.14 right now.

This most recent move from noon seems well correlated with the release of this Florida poll.

Dropped from 19.55 at 4:00am EDT too! This is huge. She is getting her mojo back after Comey's October Dud.

[Dopers_Greed]

20. Excellent news

Herr Drumpf can't win without Florida

[Ligyron]

21. Hills will win FL.

If the election here is fair and somebody doesn't pull some huge stunt somewhere in the mechanism.

Then there was the night we watched Clapton walk drunk through a plate glass slider unharmed, so...

[bucolic_frolic]

22. Campaign rallies with star power

The Clown Car 16 & Trumpence Too

can't deliver what POTUS FLOTUS Biden Warren
HRC Kaine can ...

[elmac]

23. Now, if they can just keep Comey

locked up in a padded room until the 9th.

[Cryptoad]

24. I figure he will stir the pot tomorrow or Sat

[SansACause]

25. Probably tomorrow

The smear campaigns always release things on Friday afternoon so the TV news have all weekend to talk about it.

[aaaaaa5a]

26. This is great news for John McCain. NT