If these Latinos vote, Hillary Clinton will probably win Florida

[UCmeNdc]

Barack Obama narrowly won Florida in 2012 by expanding the electorate. Hillary Clinton, with help from her allies, is trying to do that again in 2016.

Indicators on the ground and in the early ballot numbers suggest that many low-frequency voters, particularly Latinos, will participate in this year’s election.

Every poll shows that the Sunshine State, which gave the country Bush v. Gore, is once again within the margin of error. The president carried the state four years ago by less than one percentage point.

Donald Trump, who has been relatively strong in Florida all year, needs the state’s 29 electoral votes in any realistic scenario that gets him to 270. The attention being paid to the state reflects its special, quadrennial importance: Clinton rallies today in Tampa, Orlando and Fort Lauderdale. Trump has events scheduled tomorrow in Miami, Orlando, Pensacola and then, on Thursday morning, in Jacksonville.

Pro-Clinton forces undeniably have a better ground game than pro-Trump forces, which were slow to ramp up.

It is helpful to think of get-out-the-vote operations like a special teams unit in football. It will not win you the game if you’re down a few touchdowns, but it can make the difference at the end of a close matchup. Right now, Clinton really just needs a field goal to block Trump’s path to the presidency. But it’s not totally clear how many yards she has to kick the ball.

Snip....

I spent a shift shadowing Nieves, who was born in the Bronx and spent her teenage years in Puerto Rico, as she tried to convince about a hundred folks that they should vote in 2016. Speaking their native Spanish, she was an effective messenger — but it also seemed to be a surprisingly easy sell.

Edgardo Casiano, a cable technician who is registered to vote but has not done so since moving to Florida, initially said he was supporting Trump when Nieves knocked on his door. His wife walked up from behind and smacked him on the arm. She told the visitors at her door that he was just joking around, and that they both support Clinton. “If he doesn’t vote for Hillary, I will divorce him! Seriously,” said Marlin Colon, a Mary Kay beauty consultant, as their two kids watched TV in the living room.

The conversation that followed with the 29-year-olds showed the value of these face-to-face encounters — and the challenges of mobilizing hard-to-reach voters.

The husband said he would go online to vote early. Nieves had to explain that you cannot vote on the Internet but must do so in person. That surprised him. She told him exactly where he could go and talked about how easy it was. “Anytime from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m.,” she said.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2016/11/01/daily-202-if-these-latinos-vote-hillary-clinton-will-probably-win-florida/5817cdcee9b69b6085905de2/?wpisrc=nl_daily202&wpmm=1

[Jason1961]

1. My anecdotal experience on the ground

Latinos are coming out to vote and I'm fairly sure they're voting against Trump

The only concerns Latinos seem to have regard Women's Health Issues which are surprisingly easy to explain; the questions are usually phrased in a suspicious manner though, like their Priest told them what to ask us.

I think Trump has done us a huge favor in farming the Latino Vote, his racism vs. Hillary's open arms make the choice an easy one.