CNN article on 6 ways Trump could win.

[Garrett78]

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/03/politics/donald-trump-path-to-270-scenarios/index.html

I haven't really analyzed the 6 maps yet, but I'm sure all are highly unlikely.

[Wounded Bear]

2. At this stage, any path to victory for Trump...

involves flipping at least one blue state, and basically running the table in all the "toss ups."

Interesting speculation, I guess, if the horse race is what you're promoting. Reality says it probably won't happen.

[Garrett78]

14. I've made it clear that I expect Clinton to win well over 300 electoral votes.

And I'm not promoting anything. I just thought the article was worthy of discussion.

As unlikely as it is to happen, there are ways in which Trump could just barely reach 270. Unlikely is not the same as impossible.

[Wounded Bear]

15. My bad on the promoting comment...

sorry about that. It's the CNN website that is "promoting" various speculative paths to victory for Trump.

Steve Kornacki does this about every day at least once on MSNBC.

I'm hoping for 350+ myself. I'm greedy.

[Garrett78]

18. A couple weeks ago I thought 350+ was a strong possibility.

Now I'm in that 320-330 ballpark. I've never felt more anxiety leading up to an election, nor have I ever wanted a landslide as badly as I do this year. And I'm far from being a huge Clinton fan. But everything Donald Trump (and his bloc of support) represents is so atrocious, so harmful (particularly for women and persons of color) that he needs to be annihilated. Leonard Pitts said it well in a recent article of his.

[Fast Walker 52]

3. a couple seem plausible based on previous presidential races

I'm not sure about how feasible given current polling.

Michigan and Wisconsin seem key.

[Demsrule86]

7. It won't happen...the impossible dream.

He has to run the table, take all tossups and turn at least one deep blue state red.

[workinclasszero]

4. CNN gotta keep that BS horse race meme alive

[Quantess]

5. Yeah well, they had exactly the same article about Mitt Romney in 2012.

Turned out all that speculation was for naught.

[Demsrule86]

6. The impossible dream. I posted it below...ridiculous is a kinds word.

1. Trump could carry every state Mitt Romney won in 2012 (including North Carolina) and flip the Barack Obama states of Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire.

2. This is Trump's dream scenario, because it cracks Clinton's blue wall of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania -- which he hasn't been able to win in polls.

3. Three smaller, fiercely independent states could tip from Clinton's column to Trump's if she loses many of the Republican-leaning voters who just aren't comfortable with Trump -- not to the GOP nominee, but to Libertarian Gary Johnson. Bjut he still needs both Florida and Ohio

4. All of a sudden, the West could become much more competitive -- with Trump securing Arizona and having a chance at flipping Florida, Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico.
This scenario would also lock up Florida for Trump, and would allow him to forget about New Hampshire:But he still needs Ohio and Florida

5. If the Northeast loves Trump
Forget Maine's Second District -- perhaps Trump can flip the whole state. And he could take New Hampshire with him.
In this scenario, Trump would vastly outperform expectations among suburban, middle-class voters -- and win the election's biggest prize of all: the Philadelphia suburbs: he still needs ohio and Florida though.

6. If African-American turnout drops
There are signs in the early vote numbers from North Carolina, Florida and Georgia that fewer black voters (who typically back Democrats) are turning out compared to previous election cycles -- resulting in whiter electorates.
That would help Trump in those three states -- and could boost him in Michigan, too, where much of the Democratic vote comes from African-Americans in cities like Detroit and Flint: Still needs Ohio and Florida

[stopbush]

8. I've got my own list:

1. Hell freezes over

2. Jimmy Hoffa walks into a bar in Detroit

3. Mike Pence renounces Christianity

4. A Sasquatch is captured alive

5. Rudy Giuliani shuts the fuck up

6. Jesus returns

[WI_DEM]

9. Thanks for posting the good news!

[qdouble]

12. lol, they're just throwing out random hypotheticals, nothing based on actual polling.

[Wounded Bear]

16. Steve Kornacki does this kind of "study" every day...

sometimes more than once. Very speculative, and increasing unlikely.

[April Lee]

17. I'm beginning to really detest the horse race aspect of this

It seems to me like a lot of people are trying dissect every last poll for some hidden meaning. Yes, this election is surprisingly close, but yes, Hillary will still win. I would rather focus on the better America she is going to build when reality become official.

[Renew Deal]

19. He needs FL in every single one

[Garrett78]

20. The battleground state with the most electoral votes.

The second Florida is called for Clinton, if that happens, we'll know it's over. I'm glad I live on the west coast, while FL is on the east coast. Of course, if it's super close, it won't get called early.

[True_Blue]

21. I noticed all 6 maps are dependent on AZ going red

It's going to be close, but I think Hillary will take AZ. Latinos make up 30% of the population here, and I recently read that 83% of Latinos in AZ have registered to vote this year. I volunteered this weekend to GOTV for Hillary because I believe she has an excellent chance of winning AZ.

[Garrett78]

22. AZ should be more favorable than OH, based purely on demographics.

I'm hoping like hell that she wins AZ and OH. If that happens, she'll top 350 electoral votes. We could even be looking at 400+.