2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 12TH day. Dems lead by > 35,000 EV, 43% to 37%
10:15 AM PST Hillary For America got a nice shot in the arm yesterday for the democratic Nevada firewall, adding 4,757 to its lead in Clark County. The SoS PDF is off by 1 vote still, a calculation error probably, but nobody there has caught it.Washoe County Dems lost the north by 481 EV, while Clark won by 4,757. As of this moment, democrats have a net lead of ~35,456 EV after 12 days of early voting, with just a few other red counties not reporting in to the SoS.
Democratic GOTV surges FORWARD TOGETHER.
Statewide EV (ballots & absentee)
Total: 614,874
Dems: 261,310
Reps: 225,854
Other: 127,711
Percentages
Dems: 42.5%
Reps: 36.7%
Other: 20.8%
Nevada SoS PDF <here>
Washoe County & Clark County elections results also included.
Clark County EV 12th day
Total: 36,041
Dems: 15,959
Reps: 11,202
Other: 8,880
Clark County EV Democratic Firewall 12th day
Total: 425,941
Dems: 195,547
Reps: 139,983
Other: 90,412
Clark County Dem Firewall: 55,564
***** Thank you HFA workers and volunteers! *****
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)ffr
(22,670 posts)But I have not seen or read any polling data this election cycle that shows how that block is voting. I can only tell you that there is probably a decent sized Hispanic block distributed amongst all three categories. My perception is they will all vote for Hillary Clinton and Catherine Cortez-Masto. From the newly registered ones I recorded, that was the distribution. However, they were registered by democrats at democratic events. Most registered as No Party Affiliation, "other".
The other thing that is unclear is whether Tea Partiers are in the other category and not registered republican. For sure, the "other" category numbers are way up this election cycle. If there's a hidden block of dem or rep voters in there, they could swing the election for either of the two primary candidates.
That said, political analyst Jon Ralston, says he's hearing that Joe Heck (R) is "getting crushed" in Clark County EV at the moment. That would indicate to me, that the "others" could be heavily Hispanic voter block, as my personal experience revealed during registration drives.
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)are reporting bous numbers claiming Trump was leading . Being active with the get out to vote,deal with this fake crap ever phone bank segment. Just caught a segment on CNBC,parroting outlier polls and conspiracy crap about the Clinton Foundation as we as the Wiener e-mails. We have on of the most worthless Media Conglomerates money can buy .
ffr
(22,670 posts)But it also helps drive voters to the polls, so not all bad. Because when there's a heavy turnout, we win.
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)we have nothing less than Infotainment that is driven by the profit motive and the agenda of Corporate America. As far as driving people to the polls,that is a 50-50 thing,is is about the local messaging used. Our local Media is pro Conservative in messaging,it's the Dems fault,run stories about Police arrests,failing Schools,and some bogus Clinton Story. You will never see a story about the corruption or illegal dealings of anyone connected to Business unless it is a National story.
ffr
(22,670 posts)Which is why I just gave up on cable TV and cut it off. Too much BS to wade through after working my butt all for 10 hours.
Such a deserve to the Nation. Latest memo,pit College Educated folks against non College Educated,anything to divide and conquer the populace.