Betting sites must like what they see in early voting in Nevada as it has jumped way up for Hillary

[Quixote1818]

even as polling has shown a shift to Trump. I don't remember where it was yesterday but it wasn't near 80% which is currently showing. I have heard Nevada is very hard to poll for some reason. Anyone know why?



http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner

[s-cubed]

1. Hispanics hard to poll. nt

[Awsi Dooger]

2. Nevada has changed quite a bit since 2004

Hispanics previously were a much higher percentage of the population than their voting percentages suggested. It was very frustrating. Finally they were targeted by Democratic groups along with starting to become more involved and energized period. African Americans also started voting closer to their overall percentage.

I don't think the polling models have caught up to the shift. Previously Nevada polling was fairly reliable. But Clark County was somewhat of a sleeping giant. Once Harry Reid's organization began massive overhaul following the 2004 disappointment Clark County basically dictates the state in presidential years, although it still can't overcome the cow counties dependably in midterms.

Early voting is very easy in Nevada, especially Clark County. That should be pointed out. It almost requires more of an excuse not to early vote than to early vote. Shopping malls are used along with stores and libraries, etc. Distribution is very logical and convenient.

I keep worrying that a Republican secretary of state will try to destroy the system. Dean Heller was actually even handed, for the most part, in allowing the expansion in the late '90s and into the '00s.

[Quixote1818]

3. Thanks for the info! nt