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NutmegYankee

(16,199 posts)
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 07:29 PM Nov 2016

Clinton’s 30-point lead in Florida Hispanic poll is ‘terrifying’ to GOP nationwide

MIAMI — Hillary Clinton is besting Donald Trump by an historic 30-point margin among Florida Hispanics, according to a new bipartisan poll that indicates Latinos could play an outsized role in delivering the White House to a Democrat for the third election in a row.

Clinton’s 60-30 percent advantage over Trump with Florida Hispanics overall is fueled by outsized support from voters of Puerto Rican descent, who favor her 71-19 percent, according to the survey of 800 likely Hispanic voters jointly conducted for Univision by Republican-leaning Tarrance Group and Democratic-leaning Bendixen & Amandi International.

Trump, meanwhile, has relatively weak backing from Cuban Americans. They historically vote Republican but only support him over Clinton by 49-42 percent, the poll shows. And Hispanic voters of other national origins heavily prefer Clinton over Trump by 71-20 percent. The overall error margin for the poll is 3.5 points.

“These Florida numbers are not only ominous for Donald Trump — they’re downright terrifying for Republicans nationwide,” said Fernand Amandi, Bendixen & Amandi’s pollster, who called Clinton’s 30-point margin “historic.”

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/11/clintons-30-point-lead-in-fla-hispanic-poll-is-terrifying-to-gop-nationwide-107067

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Clinton’s 30-point lead in Florida Hispanic poll is ‘terrifying’ to GOP nationwide (Original Post) NutmegYankee Nov 2016 OP
Hope that is true in TX, AZ, NV, NC, et al. nt Wounded Bear Nov 2016 #1
Heres all the data...and its way bigger in AZ and NV. sunonmars Nov 2016 #7
Muy bueno. CentralMass Nov 2016 #4
K&R nt ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2016 #5
Guess which demographic GulfCoast66 Nov 2016 #6
Think this will be a very historic election! Madam45for2923 Nov 2016 #8
Re: "relatively weak backing from Cuban Americans" we should thank Obama BlueStreak Nov 2016 #9
The biggest reason is Trump's obvious vile attitude toward Hispanics... tableturner Nov 2016 #18
Here's more on this wave blue-wave Nov 2016 #10
it would only be fitting to see hispanics and women responsible for handing trump electoral defeat Tom Rivers Nov 2016 #11
Ay, candela! forest444 Nov 2016 #12
A$$ whipping. sarcasmo Nov 2016 #13
Sabrás lo que és amar a Diós en tierra de indios, pendejo. Xipe Totec Nov 2016 #14
There we go whipping out that Mexican thing again. LOL. 4lbs Nov 2016 #15
On a related note, could we please have a moratorium on the words... EL34x4 Nov 2016 #16
Hmm, maybe he should have focus group-tested the "wall" and "rapists" bits... Barack_America Nov 2016 #17

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
6. Guess which demographic
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 07:53 PM
Nov 2016

Is often missed in major polls?

When hispanics and Latinos drive the final nail in Trump he will well and truly will have been hoist with his own petard!

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
9. Re: "relatively weak backing from Cuban Americans" we should thank Obama
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 08:12 PM
Nov 2016

for making the moves to open up relations with Cuba. It has been conventional wisdom that all people with Cuban backgrounds vote Republican every time because it is the Republicans that will keep hating on Castro.

Obama had the wisdom to see that we are now dealing mostly with people 2 and 3 generations removed from the Batista exile. And guess what, Fidel is basically dead and Raul is transitional. Some of the younger Cuban-Americans are coming to realize that the way to make this transition work is to engage.

You can bet that this election was part of Obama's decision process for opening up Cuba. He has completely obliterated conventional wisdom. I think Florida wil be a big victory, with or without that Cuban vote. But this will be extra icing on the cake and move Florida (like Virginia) to deep purple status in future elections.

tableturner

(1,683 posts)
18. The biggest reason is Trump's obvious vile attitude toward Hispanics...
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 09:33 PM
Nov 2016

Even a lot of Cubans who support keeping the Cuban sanctions are voting for Hillary because of that factor.

blue-wave

(4,356 posts)
10. Here's more on this wave
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 08:38 PM
Nov 2016

I posted just a short time ago. Yes, Florida, Arizona, Texas and more will look good for us.

Terrifying the GOP!!!


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512580042

Tom Rivers

(459 posts)
11. it would only be fitting to see hispanics and women responsible for handing trump electoral defeat
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 08:43 PM
Nov 2016

what comes around goes around.

Xipe Totec

(43,890 posts)
14. Sabrás lo que és amar a Diós en tierra de indios, pendejo.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 09:03 PM
Nov 2016

You will learn what is costs to love God in heathen lands, asshole.

 

EL34x4

(2,003 posts)
16. On a related note, could we please have a moratorium on the words...
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 09:19 PM
Nov 2016

..."Terrifying" "Bombshell" and "Devastating" until after the election?

If I had to take a shot every time I read these words referencing one candidate or the other, I'd have serious alcohol poisoning.

Barack_America

(28,876 posts)
17. Hmm, maybe he should have focus group-tested the "wall" and "rapists" bits...
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 09:24 PM
Nov 2016

...surprisingly, seem to be unpopular.

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