2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton’s 30-point lead in Florida Hispanic poll is ‘terrifying’ to GOP nationwide
MIAMI Hillary Clinton is besting Donald Trump by an historic 30-point margin among Florida Hispanics, according to a new bipartisan poll that indicates Latinos could play an outsized role in delivering the White House to a Democrat for the third election in a row.
Clintons 60-30 percent advantage over Trump with Florida Hispanics overall is fueled by outsized support from voters of Puerto Rican descent, who favor her 71-19 percent, according to the survey of 800 likely Hispanic voters jointly conducted for Univision by Republican-leaning Tarrance Group and Democratic-leaning Bendixen & Amandi International.
Trump, meanwhile, has relatively weak backing from Cuban Americans. They historically vote Republican but only support him over Clinton by 49-42 percent, the poll shows. And Hispanic voters of other national origins heavily prefer Clinton over Trump by 71-20 percent. The overall error margin for the poll is 3.5 points.
These Florida numbers are not only ominous for Donald Trump theyre downright terrifying for Republicans nationwide, said Fernand Amandi, Bendixen & Amandis pollster, who called Clintons 30-point margin historic.
http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/11/clintons-30-point-lead-in-fla-hispanic-poll-is-terrifying-to-gop-nationwide-107067
Wounded Bear
(58,662 posts)sunonmars
(8,656 posts)CentralMass
(15,265 posts)ProudProgressiveNow
(6,129 posts)GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)Is often missed in major polls?
When hispanics and Latinos drive the final nail in Trump he will well and truly will have been hoist with his own petard!
Madam45for2923
(7,178 posts)In many ways!
BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)for making the moves to open up relations with Cuba. It has been conventional wisdom that all people with Cuban backgrounds vote Republican every time because it is the Republicans that will keep hating on Castro.
Obama had the wisdom to see that we are now dealing mostly with people 2 and 3 generations removed from the Batista exile. And guess what, Fidel is basically dead and Raul is transitional. Some of the younger Cuban-Americans are coming to realize that the way to make this transition work is to engage.
You can bet that this election was part of Obama's decision process for opening up Cuba. He has completely obliterated conventional wisdom. I think Florida wil be a big victory, with or without that Cuban vote. But this will be extra icing on the cake and move Florida (like Virginia) to deep purple status in future elections.
tableturner
(1,683 posts)Even a lot of Cubans who support keeping the Cuban sanctions are voting for Hillary because of that factor.
blue-wave
(4,356 posts)I posted just a short time ago. Yes, Florida, Arizona, Texas and more will look good for us.
Terrifying the GOP!!!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512580042
Tom Rivers
(459 posts)what comes around goes around.
forest444
(5,902 posts)A fire's burning!!
sarcasmo
(23,968 posts)Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)You will learn what is costs to love God in heathen lands, asshole.
4lbs
(6,858 posts)EL34x4
(2,003 posts)..."Terrifying" "Bombshell" and "Devastating" until after the election?
If I had to take a shot every time I read these words referencing one candidate or the other, I'd have serious alcohol poisoning.
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)...surprisingly, seem to be unpopular.