If you live in a Red Cong District, how does it look?
I live in the AZ 2nd.
Republican Martha McSally beat Ron Barber by less than 200 votes 2 years ago. Barber was a weak candidate. We have a great candidate with Dr. Matt Heinz. Unfortunately McSally is a strong candidate who has been very effective in concealing her far right ideology and appear to be a moderate. Millions of dollars in ads from outside groups are appearing constantly so it must be very close. It is possible that it influenced Kaine's trip to Tucson.
I am guessing that it is going to be close but unless Clinton takes AZ by 5 points its a reach to take this district.
If you live in a Red District what are the chances that it could turn blue?
Here is a list that appears to be a reasonable summary and shows 17 seat gain.
http://www.electionprojection.com/house-elections.php