Sam Wang: If Trump wins more than 240 electoral votes, I will eat a bug.

[workinclasszero]

As of November 4, 9:07AM EDT:Snapshot (199 state polls): Clinton 311, Trump 227 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +2.6%RSS
Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 98%, Bayesian >99%

http://election.princeton.edu/2016/11/04/sound-bites-and-bug-bites/

[Va Lefty]

1. If he wins 270 I may take the gas pipe!

[workinclasszero]

5. LOL lets hope

it don't come to that!

[Madam45for2923]

2. woah!

I like this bet!

[workinclasszero]

6. It makes me feel better

I'm sick of the FBI and the news media trying like hell to get orange hitler elected next week.

[FreeStateDemocrat]

3. The ultimate vote of confidence, too funny

[PoliticAverse]

4. Is he willing to bet his job over his prediction?

In some places they like to eat bugs...
http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/health/2005-06-16-bug-food_x.htm

[regnaD kciN]

10. He essentially is…

He currently has the probability of a Clinton victory at 98% (random drift) or > 99% (Bayesian). Should Trump win, he's going to have a hard if not impossible time rebuilding his credibility, or that of his organization, in the future.

[Charlotte Little]

15. Nope

PEC makes no money for Sam. He's not in it for monetary gain. And reality is - Trump can win. That's just the reality. The chances are very small according to the PEC model, but it could happen.

Sam and PEC will survive this election. And I'm fairly confident that Sam won't be eating any bug anytime soon. But I'm also a realist. GOTV!

[regnaD kciN]

7. That tweet was actually from mid-October, but…

…Wang is standing by it in his commentary today. He also says that the only real question at this point is who will control the Senate.

[workinclasszero]

9. From the link....

As of November 4, 9:07AM EDT:Snapshot (199 state polls): Clinton 311, Trump 227 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +2.6%RSS
Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 98%, Bayesian >99%
Senate snapshot (48 polls): Dem+Ind: 50, GOP: 50, Meta-margin: D +0.5%, Nov. control probability: Dem. 70%

[regnaD kciN]

11. I'm puzzled as to why that was a response to my post…

[brooklynite]

8. I had ice cream topped with meal worms last month...sort of like puffed rice.

[yellowcanine]

12. Not much of a promise unless it is a bug like this, Sam.

https://www.searchlock.com/mirror/p?e=1&h=zpApBdPAMKPGmrghXqq520ezFsXbZwpeKNidEjjcBi1eViwRUowNy72RDsVlauoCnHLULeD1fS0+maxGsC5bVbmzCFExNTrYTeERYfCv/T1zVCAmkfbZcAH6R5SYRcb2&u=

[demosincebirth]

14. Lotsa protein.

[workinclasszero]

16. Yikes!

There's a whole meal.

[GopherGal]

19. nice of the repugs to leave one in DNC HQ for him. (nt)