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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRobert Shrum: Obama Won Election & Will Win Again on Fiscal Cliff
by Robert Shrum Dec 7, 2012 4:45 AM EST
The fiscal cliff fight can play out in different waysbut in any scenario, the Bush tax rates for the rich are gone. Obama may make some concessions to the GOP, but hell end up victorious, just as he did in November, says Robert Shrum.
Hes abruptly resigned to take over the right-wing Heritage Foundation think tank. But on his way out the door, the presiding prelate of the Tea Party in the Senate, South Carolinas Jim DeMint, anathematized House Speaker John Boehner for the secular sin of offering a Republican proposal to raise revenue by closing loopholes and limiting deductions. As heresies go, its not much. Boehner has brewed a warmed-over Mitt Romney plan while omitting the noxious idea of voucherizing Medicare. Never fear, through: the speaker seeks big cuts in Medicare and Social Security benefits, proving again that something at the heart of the Republican Party yearns to shred the social safety net.
n the Kabuki theater now being performed on the fiscal cliff, DeMint is irrelevantand so are Boehner and the primary-paranoid GOP Senate Leader Mitch McConnellon the central question of higher tax rates for the wealthy. Its not just that President Obama campaigned and won on raising those rates, unlike the President Bush of 2004, who claimed a mandate to privatize Social Security, a scheme he had not dared speak of during the election. Nor is the decisive factor simply the exit polling or the post-November polling, which show 63 percent of Americans are on the presidents side here.
What matters most is that the tax increases will happen on Dec. 31, unless Obama agrees to stop them. Republicans backed themselves into this corner first with Bushs deal to sunset his tax plan after 10 years, then with the congressional partys 2010 victory in extending the tax cuts until after the election, and then with the 2011 jerry-rigged contrivance of sequestration, automatic reductions in domestic and defense spending at the end of this year as the price for raising the debt ceiling. The latter two moves were premonitory expressions of the GOP delusion of unskewed polls and an unrepresentative turnout, which pervaded the Romney headquarters and its attendant pundit class all the way until Ohio and the election were calledand in Karl Roves case, screechingly beyond that. Obama, they believed with all the fervor of a false faith, was bound to lose. And now, in the fiscal negotiations, theyre still running on the same tattered laundry ticket that took them down the road to defeat.
The deception of hiding blessings for the rich behind a tax break for the middle class, the drivel about job creators, the doctrinal fulminations of Grover Norquist with his pledge never, ever to vote for a tax increasewhich has turned Republicans into Stepford senators and representativesall this is a bankrupt strategy both in terms of policy and politics.
-snip-
read more:
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/12/07/robert-shrum-obama-won-election-will-win-again-on-fiscal-cliff.html
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