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Kaleva

(36,327 posts)
Wed Nov 16, 2016, 04:01 AM Nov 2016

White males and females voted in this election much like 2012

Whites accounted for 72% of the vote in 2012 and 70% in this election.

63% of white males voted for Trump while 62% voted for Romney in 2012.

53% of white women voted for Trump and 56% voted for Romney.

Hillary did not do as well with minorities as Obama did. She got 7% less of the Black male vote, 2% less of the Black female vote, 3% less of the Latino male vote, and 8% less of the Latino female vote.

In Michigan, it appears, going by the CNN exit polls, that had Hillary done as well with minorities as Obama did, she would have won the state.

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/national/president

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/race/president/

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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White males and females voted in this election much like 2012 (Original Post) Kaleva Nov 2016 OP
i think they felt too safe about the 2004 Kerry states. if they could go back they would focus more JI7 Nov 2016 #1
There's a fly in the oinment. Behind the Aegis Nov 2016 #2
There is research suggesting the exit polls on latino voters is wrong BainsBane Nov 2016 #3
Good article with good info to support why the numbers are off on Latinos voting trump lunasun Nov 2016 #4

JI7

(89,260 posts)
1. i think they felt too safe about the 2004 Kerry states. if they could go back they would focus more
Wed Nov 16, 2016, 04:38 AM
Nov 2016

on turning out the minority and other dem leaning areas in those states instead of the moves into georgia and some other red areas. or do both.

and it's also possible that dems felt too safe in those states also. especially when you start talking about places like georgia you think if she is competitive there than long time blue states like penn, michigan, and wisconsin are safe.

it wouldn't have taken much to put a little extra effort into those states which were assumed safe.

i think because of the race factor the Obama team also put in more to make up for it .

Behind the Aegis

(53,975 posts)
2. There's a fly in the oinment.
Wed Nov 16, 2016, 04:44 AM
Nov 2016

Many people aren't going to like those FACTS; nope, not at all. They have already decided what the real reason(s) (as many will have different "real reasons&quot for the loss is and any discussion which strays for the "accepted reason(s)" will be met with derision and screams of "traitor."

BainsBane

(53,041 posts)
3. There is research suggesting the exit polls on latino voters is wrong
Wed Nov 16, 2016, 04:45 AM
Nov 2016
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/11/15/why-the-exit-polls-are-wrong-on-latino-votes/?utm_term=.96c8de687598

Also voter restrictions were most severe in minority areas. That's particularly true in key states like WI, MI, PA and NC.
300,000 voters were turned away in WI because of their voter ID law. Trump's margin of victory was something like 23,000.

lunasun

(21,646 posts)
4. Good article with good info to support why the numbers are off on Latinos voting trump
Wed Nov 16, 2016, 11:04 AM
Nov 2016

Also brings home again how voter ID suppresses

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