2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHannity reports Romney leads Obama in several new polls
He cautioned his audience about the coming roller coaster, but said for the first time, polls are showing Romney ahead.
He cited a Fox News poll (they had Obama leading until now); a Rassmussen poll; and a Gallop poll.
Rambis
(7,774 posts)poll showed them statistically tied, and is a notably volatile poll. The other two are run by Repukes.
bluerum
(6,109 posts)RebelOne
(30,947 posts)jenmito
(37,326 posts)oversampled Repubs. by a wide margin. He stated the exact number but I forget it now.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)when Axlerod said: "{Something to the effect of} Yeah, I read that fox poll and can't help thinking that anyone that knows anything about fox and its polling knows that it is an outlyer ... unsupported by any other polling."
jenmito
(37,326 posts)he really pushed that poll back at Wallace. It was great to watch.
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)Gallup's model is assuming turnout similar to the 2010 midterms, which is an absurd assumption, Dems always turnout more for Presidential elections, they have in basically every one in the last few decades.
And Ras is well Ras.
jenmito
(37,326 posts)they know better than to use the midterm election model. But they do it anyway.
Arkana
(24,347 posts)He wasn't on the ballot in 2010 and it was real hard to get excited about the people we had running.
notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)The pukes have 10 years of practice stealing elections.
Mutiny In Heaven
(550 posts)that they'll have bitten off more than they can chew if they attempt to steal the election from an incumbent President Obama.
I don't think we're going to have a Kerry or Gore situation. He won't back down and the Supreme Court are between a rock and a hard place; they'd HAVE to let the votes be counted, long as that might take.
There are some tricks just too flagrant to play twice in little more than a decade.
demtenjeep
(31,997 posts)Lies, lies and lies
typical Repig repuke behavior
Yavin4
(35,445 posts)Or is he just pulling this out of his ass?
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)the map says otherwise.
center rising
(971 posts)rufus dog
(8,419 posts)I cited my common sense.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)Yes, there are three polls, Fox and Rasmussen (Friday) and Gallup (today), that have Romney up over Obama by only TWO points.
BUT ...
Look at these two polls from today below - one has Obama up NINE points and the other one up FOUR points
General Election: Romney vs. Obama - Reuters/Ipsos - Obama 47, Romney 43 (Obama +4)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
So, if I were Hannity I wouldn't be doing much braggin'
JaneQPublic
(7,113 posts)BigDemVoter
(4,157 posts)Magical Thinking!
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)because they don't mean shit even the ones that favor our candidate
racaulk
(11,550 posts)Arkana
(24,347 posts)When PPP or Quinnipiac or SurveyUSA can show me a poll with Romney leading Obama, that's when I get worried.