The Guardian: Bill deBlasio's diverse coalition could clinch contest for New York Mayor
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/10/bill-deblasio-new-york-mayor
Long-time followers of New York City politics know that the vote in city-wide elections usually breaks down along racial and ethnic lines. In this year's comptroller race, for instance, Eliot Spitzer is winning black voters and losing white voters by a wide margin. The mayoral race, however, is a far different scenario.
The latest trio of mayoral polls puts Bill de Blasio just south of the 40% needed to avoid a runoff with likely second-place finisher Bill Thompson, who is 15pt to 20pt behind. De Blasio has made a late charge, but what's truly surprising to me is how De Blasio is getting to 40%.
De Blasio is trying to hold together the most diverse coalition in modern history to win the Democratic primary for mayor. In the latest Quinnipiac poll (which is far from perfect, though will have to do), De Blasio is at 44% among Hispanic voters, 40% among white voters, and 37% among black voters. This is despite Thompson being black. So, given the margin of error on subsamples, we could say that De Blasio looks to be scoring equally well among all the main racial and/or ethnic groups.