A prospective look at the 13 keys to the White House

[bigdarryl]

Last edited Tue Nov 25, 2014, 02:01 PM - Edit history (1)

This isn't from Allan Lichtman per se but it's pretty good http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/columnists/carl-p-leubsdorf/20141124-carl-p.-leubsdorf-looking-at-prospects-for-2016-presidential-race-through-lichtmans-keys.ece

[BruceW]

1. nitpicking

Allan Lichtman per say

per se

[davidpdx]

2. Think back to 2000 with those same questions

Key 1: Incumbent party gained House seats in midterm election. True

Key 2: No serious fight for the incumbent party’s nomination. True. There was no clear challenger to Gore.

Key 3: Incumbent president running. The two-term limit precludes that. False.

Key 4: No significant third-party candidate. False, Ralph Nader.

Key 5: No recession during the election year. True.

Key 6: Greater or equal economic growth during the current term than in the two previous terms. True

Key 7: Incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. True

Key 8: No major domestic social unrest. True.

Key 9: No major scandal. False

Key 10: No major foreign policy or defense disaster. True

Key 11: The incumbent administration achieves a major foreign policy or defense success. True

Key 12: Incumbent party’s presidential candidate is charismatic. False

Key 13: Challenging candidate is not charismatic. True.