US Senate Races in 2016,2018,and 2020.

[NPolitics1979]

2016
Democrats hold onto CO and NV, pick up AZ,FL,IL,OH,PA,and WI. +6D 52D 48R
2018
Democrats hold onto FL,ME,MI,NJ,NM,OH,PA,VA,and WI, lose IN,MO,MT,ND,and WV, pick up AZ and NV -3D 49D 51R
2020
Democrats hold onto NH and VA.
Democrats pick up
CO,IA,and NC 52D 48D

[fredamae]

1. Oregon is in play

based upon the anger toward Wyden over TPP, I think OR in 2016 is in play and I just heard...good 'ol Monica Wehby is baaaaack, tho no one knows exactly why yet.
2020 It will be Merkley...anything can happen, however but I believe he'll hold his seat.

[NPolitics1979]

2. Oregon is a Democratic Hold.

Wyden-D is more vulnerable in the primary than the general election.

[fredamae]

11. I wouldn't be too

certain about that. It will depend upon who the GOP puts up.

I did a little checking yesterday.
Oregon Dems have lost 107, 113 members since Dec 2008 through March 2015.
Since Dec 2014-March 2015-in just that quarter-3398 have dropped out which is about 1000 dropping off per Month!

The GOP is dropping also but not nearly as much. Dems still are the majority...but with the new motor voter law...will that change?

We also have a new "major party"....Independents

Oregons "Democratic Super Majority trifecta" in the state house, after an abysmal Democratic job performance this session, is also in deep trouble in 2016.
Anything can happen.
People are growing more and more PO'd about many different issues here as well.

[Maedhros]

3. I'm hoping DeFazio will step up to that Senate seat,

or maybe Steve Novick will run against Wyden.

[NPolitics1979]

4. Novick would be more likely to challenge Wyden than DeFazio.

The primary race between Novick vs Wyden will be similar to 2006 CT US Senate Race Lieberman vs Lamont.

[Maedhros]

6. Novick and Merkeley were neck-and-neck.

I voted for Novick, but that election was win-win.

DeFazio likes his seat in Congress, so he indeed is unlikely to leave it (as much as I'd like him to go to the Senate).

[fredamae]

10. DeFazio Would be great in the Senate! n/t

[Staph]

5. West Virginia will not be a loss in 2018.

Joe Manchin has decided not to run for governor. He will hold his seat for the rest of his life.

[NPolitics1979]

7. Looking at the Democratic Held Seats up for grabs in 2018 (Hillary is President)

Which Red and Purple state is likely to go Republican?

[peecoolyour]

8. I think we can unseat Rand Paul in 2016.

He'll be busy running for President and could be vulnerable.

[NPolitics1979]

9. We should wait until Conway-D wins the 2015 KY Governors Race, Hillary-D decides to contest states

that went for Bill C in 1992/1996 but went Republican in 2000,2004,2008,and 2012.
Democrats field a top tier candidate- Chandler-D,Edelen-D.