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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Thu May 31, 2012, 04:44 PM May 2012

Another poll shows a close contest in WI recall

Democratic Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett’s campaign released a new internal poll Thursday, claiming that the race against Republican Gov. Scott Walker is a dead heat.

The poll by Democratic firm Garin Hart Yang shows Walker leading 50 percent to 48 percent. The survey of 821 likely voters was conducted from May 29-30, and has a 3.5 percent margin of error.

The key quote from the poll memo, by Frederick Yang, aims at energizing Democratic turnout:

Finally, we note the continued enthusiasm of Democrats and other that can make a difference in what is shaping up to be a close race. As we have known all along, this election will come down to turnout, so the “million dollar question” is who will turn out next Tuesday. Our survey shows that an expanded electorate clearly helps Mayor Barrett: he has a 56% to 42% advantage among voters we sampled who did NOT vote in the 2010 election.

The TPM Poll Average shows Walker leading Barrett 49.7 percent to 48.5 percent.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entries/barrett-campaign-poll-has-walker-up-by-only

Barrett has been quite active in releasing his internal polls, meanwhile the Walker campaign hasn't released any of their internal polls--that may be revealing.

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