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MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 03:34 PM Jul 2015

Want a quick look at all state's latest polls for the Democratic Primaries?

Try Wikipedia's page:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016

It's updated frequently, and reflects recent polls in all 50 states, with historical poll results, as well. It's a good, one-stop source for what's going on. It will continue to be updated throughout the campaign.

There are many other sources, of course, but not many that show all 50 states in one place.

Note: Polling has not been done in all states, so there are gaps at this point, and some states only show older polls, since no more recent data are available.

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Want a quick look at all state's latest polls for the Democratic Primaries? (Original Post) MineralMan Jul 2015 OP
It appears that with good candidates in the race tings Agnosticsherbet Jul 2015 #1
I like this link, because I can see when the latest MineralMan Jul 2015 #2
I like information but tired of seeing Agnosticsherbet Jul 2015 #6
Yes. It's very likely that the winner will be clear by the MineralMan Jul 2015 #9
I'm going to "favorite!" yallerdawg Jul 2015 #3
My pleasure. I'm always looking for places I can visit MineralMan Jul 2015 #10
Hold on, Clinton is leading in Vermont? JaneyVee Jul 2015 #4
The most recent polling was from Oct 2014. Before either candidate had announced. morningfog Jul 2015 #5
Yes. It's crucial to look at the date of the poll. MineralMan Jul 2015 #8
Check individual states to see how current. antiquie Jul 2015 #7

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
1. It appears that with good candidates in the race tings
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 03:40 PM
Jul 2015

things have tightened a bit in some states. It still looks a bit one sided.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
2. I like this link, because I can see when the latest
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 03:44 PM
Jul 2015

poll was done and then look down to see earlier polling. Trends show up pretty clearly.

Pretty soon, there will be more states with poll results.

At this point, Clinton is still ahead in all states according to these numbers, although her lead is decreasing in some. Oddly, Vermont hasn't been polled for quite some time. Could be that Sanders is ahead there at this point, but without poll numbers, that's not clear.

Senator Sanders still has more work to do. That's clear enough.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
6. I like information but tired of seeing
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 03:51 PM
Jul 2015

the conflict around which is good information and which is a hit piece.

Because I vote in California in June 2016, I have chosen not to support anyone. Chances are good that the race will be decided before I go to the polls, and refusing to choose a champion helps me keep confirmation bias at bay.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
9. Yes. It's very likely that the winner will be clear by the
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 04:16 PM
Jul 2015

date of California's primary. Personally, I think the winner will be known as of March 1, 2016, which is Super Tuesday. That's the big shakeout day for Presidential Primaries. If there's a clear leader with several primary wins on March 2, the answer will be clear. That's the day of Minnesota's straw caucus vote for President, too.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
10. My pleasure. I'm always looking for places I can visit
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 04:17 PM
Jul 2015

that are accurate, reliable and up-to-date. Wikipedia's contributors are on top of things like this, so you can expect poll results to show up on that page within 24 hours.

 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
4. Hold on, Clinton is leading in Vermont?
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 03:48 PM
Jul 2015

Seems a bit suspect, no? I haven't seen VT polling.

Btw, thanks for the link.

ETA: I just saw your post #2 which cleared it up.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
5. The most recent polling was from Oct 2014. Before either candidate had announced.
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 03:50 PM
Jul 2015

Not relevant to the race today.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
8. Yes. It's crucial to look at the date of the poll.
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 04:12 PM
Jul 2015

A bunch of states are still showing Elizabeth Warren from old polls, but not Senator Sanders. The date is right there, though. There hasn't been a lot of polling in a lot of states, and none in some. Look at the national polling, and most of those states will be in line with the national polls right now, I imagine. States where active campaigning is going on are more likely to have poll figures that are recent.

 

antiquie

(4,299 posts)
7. Check individual states to see how current.
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 03:52 PM
Jul 2015
California

Field Poll
Margin of error: ± 7.0%
Sample size: 356
April 23-May 16, 2015
Hillary Clinton 53%
Elizabeth Warren 13%
Joe Biden 6%
Bernie Sanders 5%
Jim Webb 1%,
Martin O'Malley 0%,
Lincoln Chafee 0%,
Undecided/other 22%

Emerson College
Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 487
April 2–8, 2015
Hillary Clinton 56%
Elizabeth Warren 11%
Joe Biden 8%
Bernie Sanders 3%
Martin O'Malley 2%
Jim Webb 1%
Andrew Cuomo 0%,
Other 2%
Undecided 17%

Field Poll
Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 425
January 26–February 16, 2015
Hillary Clinton 59%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Joe Biden 9%
Bernie Sanders 6%
Jim Webb 2%
Others <0.5%
Undecided 7%


Minds can change with more information.
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