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Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
Tue Jul 14, 2015, 04:27 PM Jul 2015

New poll shows Trump leading GOP field, getting obliterated by Hillary in a general election matchup

Poll: Trump Leads GOP Field, but Trails Hillary by Huge Margin

In his latest rejoinder to Hillary Clinton posted on Facebook Tuesday morning, Donald Trump concluded with this statement about the presumptive Democratic nominee: “The last person she wants to face is Donald Trump.”

We will have to assume he wrote that line before seeing the results of the latest early poll on the 2016 field, this time from USA Today/Suffolk University.

On the one hand, the new poll contains good news for Trump. After leading Jeb Bush 15% to 11% in last week’s Economist/YouGov poll, Trump once again finds himself on top of the heap with 17%, compared to 14% for Bush.

<...>

The bad news for Trump comes in the hypothetical general election match-ups against Clinton. While Clinton is only four points ahead of Bush, 46% to 42%, she leads Trump by a whopping 17 points, 51% to 34%.

Look for Trump to tout his success against Bush in this latest poll but conveniently ignore his dismal performance against Clinton.

http://www.mediaite.com/online/poll-trump-leads-gop-field-but-trails-hillary-by-huge-margin/

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New poll shows Trump leading GOP field, getting obliterated by Hillary in a general election matchup (Original Post) Cali_Democrat Jul 2015 OP
Was Bernie factored in? London Lover Man Jul 2015 #1
It looks like they only matched up Hillary vs potential GOP opponents. nt Cali_Democrat Jul 2015 #4
There have only been a few polls of Sanders v. a Republican Recursion Jul 2015 #21
They will never nominate Trump Renew Deal Jul 2015 #2
completely agree ibegurpard Jul 2015 #5
I agree, he's toxic Az_lefty Jul 2015 #6
I am encouraging all Republicans... yallerdawg Jul 2015 #3
I have no doubt any Democratic candidate would trounce trump still_one Jul 2015 #7
LOFL. JaneyVee Jul 2015 #8
David Paleologos is a GOP shill who wants to make Bush look good and Trump look bad for obvious ... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #9
Who COULDN'T obliterate Trump at this point? rocktivity Jul 2015 #10
The fact that she is only ahead of Bush by 4% BrotherIvan Jul 2015 #11
How's Bernie doing against the Republicans? DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #13
Here you go again BrotherIvan Jul 2015 #17
Res ipsa loquitur: DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #18
These are good polling numbers Gothmog Jul 2015 #12
Especially coming from a GOP shill DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #14
Good ismnotwasm Jul 2015 #15
Being a GOPer polling company and a Bush supporter I'm shock - LOL Iliyah Jul 2015 #16
Trump will soon flame out and another clown car member will shoot to the front AgingAmerican Jul 2015 #19
.... trusty elf Jul 2015 #20
Looks painful with that forelock... Nitram Jul 2015 #23
Yes! Nitram Jul 2015 #22

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
21. There have only been a few polls of Sanders v. a Republican
Thu Jul 16, 2015, 05:49 AM
Jul 2015

He's lost all of them, but they were a few weeks ago.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
3. I am encouraging all Republicans...
Tue Jul 14, 2015, 04:33 PM
Jul 2015

to stand by their values and vote for Donald Trump as Republican nominee for president!

Hell, I'll even cross over in my state's open primary and vote for the Trump!

Well - it's Alabama - they probably won't need me.

Oh please oh please...

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
9. David Paleologos is a GOP shill who wants to make Bush look good and Trump look bad for obvious ...
Tue Jul 14, 2015, 05:29 PM
Jul 2015

David Paleologos is a GOP shill who wants to make Bush look good and Trump look bad for obvious reasons:



Even Bill O'Reilly couldn't believe what he was hearing: David Paleologos, pollster for Suffolk University, was announcing on Fox News that he was pulling out of Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina for good. Romney, it seems, has them in the bag. "We’ve already painted those red, we’re not polling any of those states again,” Paleologos said.

This is an absolutely bizarre decision on its face. The Real Clear Politics polling average currently shows a tie in Florida, Obama up 0.3 percent in Virginia, and Romney up three in North Carolina. There's still nearly a month left until Election Day. How could a pollster possibly call those states for Romney?


...

"I think all three of those states are still toss-ups," Public Policy Polling's Tom Jensen told us. "We’ve already polled Virginia since the debate and Obama was up by 3. I don’t agree with his assessment, and I don’t know why he would have made it without even conducting any polling after the debates."

Gary Langer, who runs the ABC News/Washington Post poll, quipped tartly, "With that kind of foresight, we should find out who he likes in the fifth at Aqueduct."

SurveyUSA CEO Jay Leve was harsher. "This guy from Suffolk is obviously a jackass," he said.


http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2012/10/suffolk-poll-paleologos.html



Fuck, they should have given me a $500.00 finder's fee and I would have found them an untainted and unbiased pollster.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
11. The fact that she is only ahead of Bush by 4%
Wed Jul 15, 2015, 03:59 AM
Jul 2015

should scare the shit out of everyone. That's margin of error basically.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
13. How's Bernie doing against the Republicans?
Wed Jul 15, 2015, 08:22 AM
Jul 2015
Clinton continues to be a far superior general election candidate to any of the other Democratic hopefuls. Scott Walker would lead Martin O'Malley and Bernie Sanders each by 8 at 39/31 and 40/32 respectively, Jim Webb by 11 at 39/28, and Lincoln Chafee by 12 at 39/27.


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/06/walker-bush-rubio-lead-gop-field-clinton-still-dominant.html#more

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
17. Here you go again
Wed Jul 15, 2015, 01:38 PM
Jul 2015

Look, if the number one reason to vote for Clinton is because she can beat Bush, then this number should scare the shit out of you. It scares the shit out of me.

And since you haven't been listening, I will reiterate what many people have been saying: that based on the midterms, conservadems lose. Period. If puts the lie to all of your arguments about the Supreme Court, etc. She is a very vulnerable candidate against Republicans. And this poll, and we all know you love polls, shows that.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
18. Res ipsa loquitur:
Wed Jul 15, 2015, 02:09 PM
Jul 2015
And since you haven't been listening, I will reiterate what many people have been saying: that based on the midterms, conservadems lose


Clinton’s popularity in a comparatively uncluttered Democratic field reflects her better performance relative to Bush and Trump among her partisan and ideological base, as well as some key demographic groups. She’s viewed positively by 82 percent of Democrats, for example, while 63 and 57 percent of Republicans like Bush and Trump, respectively.

Further, while Clinton’s seen favorably by 76 percent of liberals


http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-popularity-rises-negative-clinton-regains-positive-territory/story?id=32450539&page=2

From the same poll her positive ratings are 88-6 among African Americans and 66-29% among Latinos

Look, if the number one reason to vote for Clinton is because she can beat Bush, then this number should scare the shit out of you. It scares the shit out of me.



When you look at the poll of polls Madame Secretary's lead is well outside the margin of error:


http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-bush-vs-clinton



Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.

-John Adams

Now if you please excuse me I have to go back to watching the greatest president in my lifetime's Iran press conference.

Thank you in advance.





ismnotwasm

(41,980 posts)
15. Good
Wed Jul 15, 2015, 09:16 AM
Jul 2015

I can't believe Trump is doing as well amount Republicans as he is-- but then I could believe it when George W made it to the presidential primaries..

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
16. Being a GOPer polling company and a Bush supporter I'm shock - LOL
Wed Jul 15, 2015, 11:40 AM
Jul 2015

NOT.

There were several polls showing RMoney leading Pres O back in the day. One I believe "Pew" had RMoney taking over and leading with young "White" women by a huge margin. Blacks and other minorities were coming on board, blah blah. Even RMoney himself thought he had won, including, KKK Rove.

Like Pres O, HRC has polling companies who are more factual in their polling. Nevertheless, HRC will not let her guard down.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
19. Trump will soon flame out and another clown car member will shoot to the front
Wed Jul 15, 2015, 02:10 PM
Jul 2015

Then that one will flame out and the process will repeat itself many times.

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