2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumME poll: Obama and Angus King lead by double digits in their races
Selected WBUR Poll Data Points:
Cynthia Dill vs. Angus King vs. Charlie Summers:
- King leads Summers and Dill, 50-23-9
- Dill is 14% favorable overall among those polled
- King is 60% favorable overall among those polled
- Summers is 27% favorable overall among those polled
Obama vs. Romney:
-Obama leads 48-34 in Maine
-Romney and Obama are tied among male voters
-Obama leads by 26 points with female voters
-Obama leads 50-24 among independents,
with one-quarter undecided
http://www.wbur.org/2012/06/18/wbur-maine-poll
I hope King will caucus with the Democrats.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)If he's anywhere to the left of most teabaggers, he'd be insane to caucus with the Republicans. My guess is that he's waiting to see which party controls the Senate post-election- though he'd still find little love from the Republicans for his moderation (which nowadays is akin to apostasy).
He would necessarily HAVE to caucus with anybody would he?
liberalnationalist
(170 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)very popular. He endorsed Obama in '08 and again this year, but he hasn't said whether he will caucus with dem or GOP, and yes, he has to choose one if he is to get committee assignments, etc. I think in the end it will be the dems, but right now he is playing his cards close to the vest so that neither dems or GOP run tough campaigns against him.
Arkana
(24,347 posts)liberalnationalist
(170 posts)and going towards maine will be landslide proportions for Obama...65-35 average....the election nationally might be 5-7 points but when the popular vote comes out obama will win by 10-15 million more because of New England, NY, NJ, PA(will be closer like within 10 points), but Maryland and Deleware will go back to the 20 point range.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)We have two congressional districts, 1st and 2nd. (1.3 million total population in Maine. Registered Dems outnumber R's by a bit, but Indies outnumber either major party.) In the 2nd district the R's are running Kevin Raye for Congress against the Dem incumbent Mike Michaud who is popular and is going into his 6th term if he wins. He beat Raye in his first race so this is the 2nd time they are squaring off. The northern 2nd district is more rural. The R's are targeting that district, and their whole message to their voters will be about "holding our majority" in the state legislature which they are in BIG risk of losing because of the TeaAsshat guv, Paul "LeBuffoon" Lepage whom no one can stand except for his die hard right wingers. But they are going to dump a LOT of cash into the district to get Republicans to toe the party line and try to take out Michaud and protect their legislative seats. But we are ready with decent financing, good candidates, and a strong ground game ready to go. Raye is coming out as the State Senate majority leader. So he too is also tainted as Paul LePage's water boy.
On the Senate side, King will win it. The RePuke is a Paul LePage toadie appointed as Sec. of State who got crushed on a referendum vote when he tried to take away same-day voter registration in Maine last fall and stands no chance, and the Dem is too unknown in most of the state and too liberal for some parts of the state. She is a strong progressive, but just too unknown and not entirely ready for this high an office. King is well liked, was a popular governor, and is truly MODERATE. He will be well financed and will run a damn good campaign. Dems can feel comfortable with him on most issues. He actively campaigned for Kerry and Obama.
We and our candidates are already well organized and on the ground and on the phones, including Obama For America where WE are targeting the 2nd district. We are going to work very hard all summer and fall and are taking nothing for granted. Obama and Dems will have a good year in Maine.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)...second congressional district. That district will be close.