The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over

[Cryptoad]

Not good news for Bernie from Nate!


http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-bernie-sanders-surge-appears-to-be-over/?ex_cid=538fb

[Stellar]

1. well, it's from his site.

Nate didn't write that, you never know.

[Fred Sanders]

6. Harry Enten is a senior political writer and analyst at FiveThirtyEight.

[Stellar]

25. OK...

just looking for something to lighten up this downer.

[Fred Sanders]

2. The little white slice of white America selecting a President that is Iowa and NH is among the most

valuable white privilege of them all.

What are they, like 99.9% white?

What if the first two must win or be close Presidential primaries were in Washington D.C. and Maryland?

Or name two others of your own a little more representative of race makeup in America than Iowa and N.H.

Then what would all the pandering and framing of the issues look like?

[Armstead]

3. That racist dog Sanders would be skunked

[Fred Sanders]

4. That is very poorly done sarcasm, I have to say. Just my opinion.

[Armstead]

5. Matching the quality of the post it was responding to

[dsc]

14. A very valid point

Now Maryland with a candidate in the race would likely not really be pandered to as much but to take one issue, ethanol. We have an ethanol program only because Iowa has the first caucus. If DC went first, DC statehood would be sacred.

[jwirr]

15. I think South Carolina is next after NH. That will not be all white. But I agree that to consider

two almost totally all white states set the trend for who is supposed to be the winner is pretty far out. They are also small states with small electoral numbers which means they are pretty rural. I don't think I would bet the farm on these two states or even the first three.

[onecaliberal]

7. What a crock

[Sheepshank]

9. In what way, Charlie?

I don't think it was poorly written, I don't think the credentials of the writer can be questioned, I don't think they made up the poll numbers....but it does appear that you don't like the numbers. So is that the crock?

[Comrade Grumpy]

8. Isn't this about the fifth gloating thread proclaiming this today?

[m-lekktor]

10. I know I have seen at least three so far! nt

[Godhumor]

13. There's two. The one I started and this one

As far as the 538 article goes.

[m-lekktor]

17. no problem! i will take your word for it!

it doesn't matter to me personally how many times it is posted.

[Adrahil]

19. Not as many as sarcastic...

"White supremacist liberal" posts. Lots more to catch up with those.


Meh... IMO, the article is good, but we shouldn't make too much of it. It's a snapshot in time and a lot of things can, and will, happen.

[NorthCarolina]

11. Oh Poo...I guess I should just pack up my marbles and go home...

NOT

Nobody buys this type of subversive crappola anymore. They can try all the silly memes they want, but I'm pretty sure folks will believe their own eyes and their own ears this go round.

[magicmama]

12. Nate can take a long walk on a short pier.

He's badly underestimating Bernie. And he will be wrong at the end.

[Motown_Johnny]

16. ahh yes, those 70,000+ who attended his rallies over the weekend

are way behind the curve.


Believe what ever helps you sleep at night but until we get a couple debates behind us none of these polls really matter.

[brooklynite]

18. No, they're part of the 15-20% Sanders is polling...

...based on 2008 numbers, Sanders can expect to get 8 million votes. Pretty respectable, but not enough to win.

[left-of-center2012]

20. I guess ...

That's why there were 28,000 people in L.A. last night to hear him?

[Recursion]

28. I'm curious how you think that's a response to Enten's point

There are certainly 28,000 Sanders supporters in L.A.; there's probably about a quarter of a million, all told, but that's still only 20% of the Democratic voters in the city.

[left-of-center2012]

29. The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over

He continues to attract crowds in the tens of thousands. Doesn't appear Sanders has peaked. JMHO

[Recursion]

30. So, make an argument

What does pulling a large crowd in a large city tell you about increased support in the future?

[QC]

21. Sadly, the Whining About Bernie Sanders Surge shows no signs of abating.

[ibegurpard]

22. the ridiculous thing is

We have 5 months to go and ANYONE who knows anything about politics knows that's an eternity. Polling didn't save Eric Cantor. Neither did money. If polls haven't budged by January then I'll start believing it. Right now it's just a weapon to try to discourage opposition.

[aikoaiko]

23. HRC fans better hope so.

[MrMickeysMom]

24. Look what Nate Silver said just 3 months ago...

The World May Have A Polling Problem," Silver asserted. "In fact, it’s become harder to find an election in which the polls did all that well."

[still_one]

26. Objectively speaking I don't think the polls say everything at this point. After the debates, and

closer to the first primary in Feburary, I think we will get a more accurate picture

[delrem]

27. Yah, good ol' Nate is busy trying to put a fire out.

Well, these pollsters, they do know who buys the most polls. That's their business.

[Cryptoad]

31. ,,, and they know how to

give their customers what they want!