2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI have been saying since the beginning that Hillary has an excitement problem....
and now I'm backed up by a poll.
Face it, aside from those who look back longingly on the 90's, people aren't 'FIRED UP and READY TO GO' for Hillary. She brings nothing but old news and old politics to the table. And its starting to bite her.
SNIP
According to the poll, just 35% of New Hampshire Democratic voters said they are "excited" about Clinton's campaign. And 38% of Democrats have a "very favorable" impression of Clinton (though eight in 10 Democrats do view her favorably in general).
http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-new-hampshire-2015-8
Metric System
(6,048 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Metric System
(6,048 posts)primary. The candidate that emerges will be stronger for it.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)NH and IA go first, and the outcome of those elections determine the swing of a primary.
At this point I think we should move away from state by state primary but that's another issue completely.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)They been running her for 2016 ever since she lost the primary to Obama in 2004, never allowing more than a few days to go by without pushing her "candidacy" back into the news.
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)More to follow as the primaries close in.
brooklynite
(94,703 posts)Her campaign laid out a program back in the spring and she's followed it methodically:
1) listening tour in the spring
2) rolling out policies in the summer
3) public campaigning in the fall
Sorry if it's not exciting for you.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Everyone knows who she is, and if people were going to be excited by her, it would be showing in polls like this (not to mention her crowds).
1. Former first lady
2. Former Senator from a nearby state
3. Former Sec. of State
4. Former Candidate who spent a ton of time in New Hampshire in 07/08
Lets not act like she's some unknown quantity.
riversedge
(70,283 posts)to smackdown a few Republicans already.
Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)Did you just type that with a straight face? Hillary's been campaigning since 2000!
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)brooklynite
(94,703 posts)Barack Obama (very exciting): 18 M votes
Hillary Clinton (not so exciting): 18 M votes
so much for excitement
JackInGreen
(2,975 posts)Being secretary of state. I can't say a lot of the "cast iron hardcase" imaging (fairly accurate and kudos to being a badass. I wanted to use another word but it's verboten even in compliment) hurt her prospectiveness though I doubt that it was entirely intentional.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Hillary doesn't start campaigning until the fall
artislife
(9,497 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)in the original thread regarding this poll. Its awesome.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Where are people really fired up and ready to go? What stadiums is she packing? What overflow crowds is she speaking in front of?
SonderWoman
(1,169 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)....have it.
magicmama
(50 posts)According to a recent poll released from yesterday. And that was a state poll which has significant strength than national polls.
SonderWoman
(1,169 posts)And the pollster is a rightwinger.
frylock
(34,825 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)This was mentioned upthread.
And you seem to be saying Senator Sanders without saying Senator Sanders.
Ralph Nader had many super-rallies with tens of thousands in attendance. He had 100,000 in just a couple of weeks.
And this was 15 years ago. Sound familiar?
Look familiar?:
And no I'm not saying he's a spoiler, I'm saying he's a flash in the pan.
Do you think all of these people at Senator Sander's super-rallies just showed up out of nowhere?
Nope. It was arranged and advertised. Same as Nader's. And Nader even charged admission.
Romulox
(25,960 posts)cycle.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)....she has small fundraisers.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Welcome to politics 101.
Romulox
(25,960 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)artislife
(9,497 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)magicmama
(50 posts)Not one dollar was spent on advertising about his rallies. That is significant. People came to Bernie because they heard about him and wanted to learn more. They get excited by listening what Bernie had to say, and they talk about it. Twitter, Facebook, social media technology sustains the excitement.
I barely see anything of Clinton's on Facebook or Twitter that shows any level of excitement. Barely anything, in fact.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)magicmama
(50 posts)Zero dollars.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)And again, 40-50 points ahead.
And you are clearly not reading upthread, so I am done with you.
magicmama
(50 posts)But the advertising is free. Clinton probably will have to make ads to get them *AWARE* that she exists and wants to have a rally.
Her rally in NYC netted only 5,500 and nobody was in the overflow section. Bernie, on the other hand consistently packs the arenas and have overflow areas also packed. That's the excitement factor as noted on OP (Note I'm staying on topic). People *KNOW* who Clinton is, and who she represents. Her planned foray into rallies will fall short in the fall in terms of excitement and number will pale compared to Bernie's rallies.
Her "listening tour" is a complete waste of time.
oregonjen
(3,339 posts)In that time, they moved from the Memorial Coliseum to the Moda Center because of the number of people who RSVP'd via social media. I'd say he has a lot of people interested in his message. The local news organizations did announce it as well, along with Hillary's private fundraiser she was having a few days before Bernie.
BeyondGeography
(39,377 posts)to be able to generate excitement after nearly a quarter of a century of public life at the highest levels.
Correction; nobody is that compelling.
The only potential "excitement" I see is Hillary-as-first-woman-President. But for me at least that is dulled by the pre-ordained nature of Hillary as the after-Obama nominee, which has been the feeling since 2008. That's a long time.
Hillary feels imposed, not the result of a natural competition. Too much talent is on the sidelines, starting with Warren. Not her fault that she's up 30-40 points nationally, 70-80 points with blacks and enjoys a similarly massive edge with Latinos. We'll see if it all works out in the end, but I do think she will be fighting this particular battle through next Nov.
artislife
(9,497 posts)In LA and Tuscon. You know, where there is a large population.
My Latina self was in Seattle.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)and she has been known to everyone for a very long time.
These two things can combine to quell any excitement factor.
It is the trustworthy numbers that worry me. If those continue to be upside down for her, she can't argue against the GOP smears that will be endless. If people don't trust her they won't believe her rebuttals.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)making her an easy target for the GOP and the conservative media outlets. I personally think that in a General election she would be toast.
treestar
(82,383 posts)Instead of just letting the same old people slide in.
Hillary would be the first woman to be President, and that'll excite a lot of people (the Republicans negatively).
I'm not so big on excitement. Most people live their lives without reference to who is President. And most people don't think of Hillary as all the labels put on her about banking, insurance, corporations, war hawk, etc.
HFRN
(1,469 posts)either
1) widespread contentment with the status quo
or
2) perception that the candidate is an outsider that was not part of creating the status quo
simple as that
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)Hard to see how the FBI could criminally charge Petraeus and not Hillary Clinton--both mishandled and gave unauthorized people top secret materials.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)I can't see anyone charging a Secretary of State with anything like that.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)But yeah, that would be exciting in a different way. Hillary's best defense is that her counterpart and lackey, Leon Panetta, was even worse at handling classified info.
uponit7771
(90,359 posts)John Poet
(2,510 posts)ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)has to be wrong
c'mon,people! how many times do we have to be told?
apnu
(8,758 posts)Wake me when we get close to Super Tuesday please.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)That saved her from a quicker elimination?
azmom
(5,208 posts)Feminists. They can't even get excited about her. She represents the 90's to them.
Metric System
(6,048 posts)azmom
(5,208 posts)They are all young and a little ageist, if you ask me.
I believe that Uncle B ( that's their nickname for him) resonated with them because they had never heard of him before so to them he was new. The way he speaks, his honesty, and the fact that he was the first candidate to campaign for free college is also a factor.
All of her friends are graduating with debt and they are fearful that they won't be able to find jobs once they graduate. Bernie has tapped into that.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)I have to admit I'm pleasantly surprised at the level of interest young people are giving his campaign. It shows they are interested in an issue-based election. Their feeling the Bern is really encouraging in this cynical world.
rock
(13,218 posts)for a candidate, that brings one vote to him. If a voter is 'for' a candidate, that brings one vote to him. See the difference?
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)The one that is fired up and ready to go will be talking to all their friends and acquaintances...which equals one vote and potentially more.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Again, just look back on 2008 to see where that gets you.
JI7
(89,262 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,436 posts)Second, she doesn't need to generate the same amount of excitement. She already has a lot of people committed to her candidacy from the outset. Bernie has the much tougher job of convincing people to switch from her to him.
Sunlei
(22,651 posts)uponit7771
(90,359 posts)... candidate no doubt.
I'm fired up and ready to NOT have a republican in the Oval Office