Fox News Poll Hillary 49% Bernie 30%

[K lib]

Bernie jumped eight points from the last Fox news poll and Hillary dropped 2 points

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/08/14/fox-news-poll-sanders-gains-on-clinton/

[cantbeserious]

1. Great News - Go Bernie Go - A President For The People - Not The Oligarchs, Corporations And Banks

eom

[Robbins]

2. i am sure some will dismiss this

but why would fox manuiple poll to show hillary losing support and bernie gaining support.this is national poll and bernie has hit 30%

also trump is in lead for republicans.Fox doesn't want that.hell carson and cruz are ahead of bush.

the 2016 gop plan is to run against Hillary.Bernie forces that playbook out the door.just like Obama did.

[ericson00]

34. Fox wants the GOP to run against an unelectable socialist with no swing states

because they know the Clintons already beat them twice (and 3 times if you count the fact Gore was the real winner in 2000).

[DCBob]

3. Biden at 10%.

Might was well add those to Hillary's column. I doubt he is going to run.

[Motown_Johnny]

5. Most of those could be anti-Clinton votes.

No reason to assume Hillary gets those.

[DCBob]

8. Almost every poll this year without Biden.. Hillary's numbers go up.

But this is Faux.. so who knows.

[ericson00]

35. c'mon, didn't know you about Fox's amazing track record, like the Romney Landslide?

[K lib]

7. Joe Biden lost 3 points from the last poll

Bernie Sanders took those 3 points

[virtualobserver]

11. let's test your theory

biden went down.....AND hillary went down......nope, your theory doesn't hold water

[DCBob]

16. I think every other non-Faux poll shows without Biden, Hilary goes up.

But Faux always seems to buck the trend.

[Motown_Johnny]

4. Bleh FAUX.

These early polls mean very little.

Do we really need to link to "them" just because they came up with one we like?

I will admit that seeing her below 50% is something that I like. Even so, I can wait for some other polls to show the same thing before getting excited about it.

[bigdarryl]

18. I wouldn't get EXCITED about any polling in August

We haven't even had debates yet.Plus once that superpacs money starts running negative ads against Trump and Bernie it's a whole new ball game.People get very upset with negative ads but they work.

[libdem4life]

6. Yet when I went to the Google News homepage this morning,

Bernie is not mentioned. Yesterday a majority of Greatest Threads were about Bernie. Few today. Not much has been written.

It's Trump 80% and Clinton 20%, more or less.

His name was in the title of the article about Clinton's announcement and one sentence in the article. Then I found this article.

[FloridaBlues]

9. No matter how you spin she still up by 19 points

[libdem4life]

10. Are you disagreeing with the facts or just editorializing?

He's bringing in huge crowds. Barely a mention. O'Malley I understand...he's still just a footnote.

[Fred Sanders]

12. I also like math and understand how it works.

[Robbins]

13. back in 2007 she often has 20 point lead.

Bernie at 30% in national poll is great.

when you are running a grassroots campagin against establishment it takes time for numbers to move.

[jfern]

30. Closer than her Oct. 2007 lead

[SonderWoman]

14. OMG did you see page 14? The sampling error is HUGE.

Independents +/- 7, Black +/- 9, but White only +/- 3???

[HerbChestnut]

15. Likely has to do...

with the sample size. Smaller sample size usually = larger margin of error. But that's ok because percentage differences mean less and less with fewer samples (i.e. 3% of 100 is 3 but 7% of 10 is 0.7).

[HereSince1628]

32. IIRC It takes ~ 400 participants to get to 5% margin of error, they surveyed ~ 1000

As you say, because the margins of error are inversely related to sample size and minorities make up a smaller part of the surveys, minorities have bigger margins of error.

[CountAllVotes]

17. Hillary 30% Bernie 49%

Probably the reality of it and then some!

Never, and I mean NEVER trust FAUX news!

[ram2008]

19. Whoa those are some good numbers for Bernie!!

Last edited Sun Aug 16, 2015, 12:47 PM - Edit history (1)

Fox News' polling organization is reliable. This is good news for Bernie supporters... Clinton finally below 50% and Bernie at 30% nationally!

[bigdarryl]

20. Daily Kos founder Markos predicted Sanders ceiling would be 30%

Nothing to get excited about.In fact my question would be is he peaking to soon.

[ram2008]

21. Since when is Markos a statistician?

He knows nothing more than the average person posting on DU.

[bigdarryl]

24. Not true you should start listening to him on Thursdays

When he's a guess On Mark Thompson's show between 6:00PM and 6:50PM.hes.very knowledgable in politics and polling.In fact Mark Thompson thinks he's as good as Nate Silver he in fact said three months ago that Sanders had a good chance on winning NH and.Iowa and after that it's super Tuesday with Hillary taking most if not all of the state's because of the African American vote and when all said and done after the primary he would end up with 30 to maybe even close to 40% of the total primary vote

[ram2008]

25. He is a talking head

There are plenty of them, and they all don't know what they are talking about and are "guesstimating" based not their own opinions.

[bigdarryl]

26. He's no fucking talking head he's the Founder of the most

Progressive site online even more so than DU.He never is on the cable news channels and only does interviews on Mark. Thompson show

[ram2008]

27. He's still a talking head...

And a Hillary shill. Kudos for him starting the DailyKos though. However, that doesn't mean he has more credibility when discussing numbers in Presidential politics.

[Robbins]

22. and most others said he would only get 20 or 25%

I can see you will dismiss anything in postive direction for Bernie.

[DCBob]

23. That was about what I would predict...

I was thinking more like 25%.. as an average across all polls.

[jfern]

31. Kos was just attacking Sanders

His attack was full of shit.

[Adrahil]

28. If that holds upit's a big deal....

But that's a huge change for about 10 days of poll. But if it does hold up, it could be a whole new ballgame.

[HereSince1628]

29. Interesting that Chuck Todd was talking about Clinton's falling numbers

National exposure on falling numbers is probably not what Clinton campaign wants regardless of what month it is.

[ericson00]

33. Anything better than Fox?

Their polling is a scam.